Eduardo Paladini
03/25/2021 10:51
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 03/25/2021 10:51 AM
It is an intrinsic duel, often underground, but latent for years.
Who will be the
"heir"
of
Cristina Kirchner
?
¿
Axel Kicillof
, whom the former president was first elected as its star economist and then catapulted to manage the largest province of the country?
Or
Máximo Kirchner
, his own son, head of La Cámpora and who he planted as his strategic counterweight in the Chamber of Deputies?
A new survey measured them for the first time province by province, considering an eventual
2023 national projection
.
And
Clarín
advances the data this Thursday exclusively.
The study is by
CB Consultora Opinion Pública
, a firm with origins in Córdoba that conducts surveys throughout the country.
For almost a year, it has been publishing an interesting ranking of governors.
And also, national leaders such as Alberto Fernández, Cristina, Sergio Massa, Mauricio Macri and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta pass through the filter.
In the logic of this last group, Kirchner Jr. and Kicillof entered the sieve.
The image of the head of the Frente de Todos bloc began to be measured district by district in January.
In February they repeated - it showed an improvement - and in March they added the governor.
First conclusion:
Kicillof has a better evaluation than Máximo Kirchner in 23 of the 24 provinces
.
Or seen from the other corner: the future head of the Buenos Aires PJ only beats him in Santa Cruz.
Máximo Kirchner vs.
Axel Kicillof
Based on a survey of between 500 and 1,250 cases per district
Source:
CB Public Opinion Consultant
Infographic:
Clarín
The best and worst of Kicillof
In the
CB
survey
, the governor already reflects
some of the assets
that he has been showing in other national studies.
In a very critical context of public opinion regarding its leaders, it comes with a certain
stability
in its numbers.
In the framework of the coronavirus pandemic, Kicillof
did not have peaks in popularity
like the President or Larreta, but neither did he experience abrupt falls, as did Alberto Fernández.
At a general level, the image of the governor
repeats the K standard
: his best numbers are in the North, in the province of Buenos Aires and in Santa Cruz.
In
four
of those districts, it achieves a
favorable valuation balance
.
Governor Axel Kicillof, in early February, in a vaccination activity at the Dique Ensenada Hospital.
Photo Nievas.
1)
Santiago del Estero
: 53.3% positive and 32.4% negative.
2)
Buenos Aires
: + 49.7% and - 49.2%.
3)
Formosa
: + 46.2% and - 40%.
4)
Missions
: + 43.7% and - 41.5%.
Later, even but with a negative differential,
Chaco
(+ 43.4% and - 45.5%) and
Santa Cruz
(+ 43.1% and - 45.4%) appear.
The worst of Kicillof (like Cristina or Máximo himself), comes in the central provinces of the country, with a strong anti-K bias:
Córdoba
(+ 20.1% and - 71.3%),
Mendoza
(+ 26.8 % and - 67.2) and
CABA
(+ 32.5% and - 59.5%).
In the middle, there is also a strong rejection from
Neuquén
(+ 32% and -58.9%).
Another point in favor of the economist, always thinking of a national candidacy, is his high level of knowledge: in large districts the "ns / nc" remains in one digit and only has relatively high figures in
San Luis
(18.7%) and
La Rioja
(15.4%).
The best and worst of Máximo
In this measurement, the head of block K appears below Kicillof.
He only approves
in
Santa Cruz
, his home district.
It is the only province where it has more positive than negative image (+ 45.9% and - 42.8%) and it is enough to surpass the governor.
Complete the
podium
with
Buenos Aires
, his current political address and
Santiago del Estero
, the Mecca for Kirchner leaders.
In Bonarense land, it shows a relatively good assessment in favor for current times (+ 41.6%), but the rejection is higher (- 51.9).
In the province of the Zamora, meanwhile, it is almost tied (+ 40.6 and - 40.7%).
Máximo Kirchner at the event organized by La Corriente Peronista 13 de Abril in Florencio Varela, for the anniversary of Kirchner's death, in October of last year.
The other two where it achieves a regular performance are
Tierra del Fuego
(+ 39.2% and - 46.1%) and
Formosa
(+ 37.4% and - 47%).
The rest is rather weak and
worsened compared to February
: their numbers fell in 16 of the 24 districts of the country.
Six already have a higher negative 60%:
CABA, Chubut, Jujuy, Black River,
Cordoba and Mendoza
,.
In the latter province it is close to 80%: it is the highest rejection of all the leaders measured by
CB
.
Regarding the
level of knowledge
, it is a little lower than that of Kicillof: in
Corrientes
, for example, his "ns / nc" exceeds 30 points.
But beyond this internal within the internal, with a more global look, both face a problem.
At least statistical.
Even with the sharp fall that he experienced almost a year ago, the
President measures much better than the two "heirs"
of Cristina.