Eduardo Paladini
03/28/2021 4:55 PM
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 03/28/2021 4:56 PM
Each one with their ways and their times,
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
,
Mauricio Macri
and
Patricia Bullrich
positioned themselves as national variants of the
PRO
for
2023
.
The order of mention is not whimsical: the head of government was the first to get into the ring, partly driven by Kirchnerism;
the former president did it later, with a book included, although without clear definitions;
and the former minister finished bleaching it in recent weeks, with tours of hot spots in the country and an unexpected crossing with her two allies via zoom.
Where does each start from in this latent but undeclared bid?
A pollster measured them province by province
.
And
Clarín
advance the data this Sunday.
The study that compared them is by
CB Consultora Opinion Pública
, a firm with origins in Córdoba that conducts surveys throughout the country.
For almost a year, it has been publishing an interesting ranking of governors.
And in addition, it passes through the filter to
leaders with national projection
.
Clarín
advanced days ago a first hot duel, in this case in the ranks of the ruling party: Máximo Kirchner vs. Axel Kicillof, the "heirs" of Cristina Kirchner.
The last zoom of Together for Change brought scandal: who distributed the photo of Macri intimate, with his wife in the background?
The survey includes
between 500 and 1,250 cases per province.
Since it began to be published in May 2020, Macri has been included.
In October of that same year he was added to Larreta.
And now
Bullrich is added for the first time
.
The first conclusion, perhaps less striking, is that the
head of government shows the best image
at the national level of the trio.
But the second, a little more surprising and always according to CB numbers, is that
Bullrich surpasses Macri in the 24 provinces
.
It is an
image evaluation
-positive and negative-, which is not always related to votes.
Or not in a linear way.
But if the head of the PRO thinks of a national jump, the internal scenario shown by this consultancy seems propitious.
The best and worst of Bullrich
The
debut
of the former Minister of Security in this national measurement is
undoubtedly good
.
Seen with the prism of the internal, it approves in absolute and relative terms.
- Bullrich has
more positive than negative image in 17 of the 24
provinces, including four of the five largest (CABA, Córdoba, Mendoza and Santa Fe).
- The
best
positive assessment
numbers are
obtained in
Corrientes
(64%),
Córdoba
(57.3%),
Misiones
(56.8%),
Formosa
(56.1%),
Mendoza
(55.8%) and
CABA
( 55.5%).
v 1.5
The image of Patricia Bullrich
Based on a survey of between 500 and 1,250 cases per district.
In %
Tap to explore the data
Source:
CB Public Opinion Consultant
Infographic:
Clarín
- Although by little, in
San Luis
(47.4% to 44.7%),
Tucumán
(49.2% to 47.2%) and
Formosa
(56.1% to 56%), it surpasses Larreta.
As said, Macri beats him at 24.
- The
worst performance
, meanwhile, appears in
Tierra del Fuego
(37.7%),
San Juan
(41.6%),
Santiago del Estero
(41.9%),
Neuquén
(42%) and
Chubut
(41.6 %).
- But perhaps the main alert sounds in the province of
Buenos Aires
, the largest in the country: there, the holder of the PRO
exceeds 50 negative points
and ends with a differential in red.
- Another fact in favor of a national projection is that it has a
high level of knowledge
.
It exceeds 80% throughout the country and 90% in the most populated provinces.
The best and worst of Larreta
That of the head of government has been good in most of the polls, although in some he is
beginning to feel the impact
of the fight with Kirchnerism and the wear and tear of the management due to the pandemic.
- In the number of
CB
, Larreta continues to be the only one that has a
differential in favor in all the districts
.
-
The best
is achieved in
CABA
(67.3%),
Corrientes
(65.6%),
Buenos Aires
(60.7%),
Entre Ríos
(60.6%) and
Córdoba
(60.4%).
v 1.5
The image of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
Based on a survey of between 500 and 1,250 cases per district.
In %
Tap to explore the data
Source:
CB Public Opinion Consultant
Infographic:
Clarín
- In addition to surpassing Bullrich in 21 of the 24 provinces in favor, it
generates less rejection than the former minister
.
- The districts with the least positive image are
San Luis
(44.7%),
Catamarca
(45%),
San Juan
(46.8%),
Tucumán
(47.2%) and
Jujuy
(49.2%).
The best and worst of Macri
In the
CB
study
, the former president has been showing a similar trend to other jobs: a hard core of support in the central provinces and a high rejection in the North and South fringes of the country.
- A good one for Macri is that, compared to February,
his image improved in 18 of the 24
districts of the country.
- Paradoxically, it had a low lev in
Córdoba
, the only place where it ends with a differential in favor: 51.9% positive (it was 52.2% last month) and 46.3% negative.
v 1.5
The image of Mauricio Macri
Based on a survey of between 500 and 1,250 cases per district.
In %
Tap to explore the data
Source:
CB Public Opinion Consultant
Infographic:
Clarín
- It also fell in
CABA
, which comes second, with + 45% and - 53.6%.
- The other three provinces that make up the top 5 of Macri's positive image are:
Salta
(43.7%),
Corrientes
(41.5%) and
Santa Fe
(40.9%).
- In the table by positive image, the
five in the fund
are:
Santa Cruz
(25.9%),
Neuquén
(26.8%),
Santiago del Estero
(27.6%),
Catamarca
(29.2%) and
Tierra del Fuego
(29.3%).
- The most sensitive side for the former president is that he has
more than 60 negative points in 16
districts.