Political situation
Written by: Wen Weiguang
2021-04-05 07:00
Last update date: 2021-04-05 07:00
Beijing made a major operation for Hong Kong’s political brakes. Although the number of seats in the Legislative Council has increased to 90, the number of direct elections in the region has dropped to 20, divided into 10 constituencies, and adopted the "dual-seat single-vote system." Evenly split, half of the seats are taken.
However, some institutional middlemen pointed out that the democrats’ willingness to participate in the election under the new system has been greatly reduced. They believe that the establishment camp should have two-handed preparations. If the pandemic fails to enter the gates, one more person can be sent to win the seat at any time.
Some people have to turn to the runway in the "struggle to collapse" in the established area
Regional direct elections have been changed from the previous five major electoral districts to 10 districts, with two seats in each district. The specific distribution is based on the "235" plan, that is, Hong Kong Island is divided into two districts in the east and west, and Kowloon into three districts. The New Territories with the widest area is divided into There are five districts, one of which is North District and part of Yuen Long combined into a district; Tuen Mun and Tin Shui Wai district; Tsuen Wan and Kwai Tsing district; Shatin and Tai Po district; Tseung Kwan O and Ma On Shan district.
However, the number of direct elections in the region has dropped significantly. In addition to weakening the power of the democrats, the establishment has also been impacted. It takes a lot of effort to re-coordinate the layout.
Take the New Territories West as an example. At present, there are 9 seats in the Legislative Council, and 5 of them are the establishment, including the DAB’s Liang Zhixiang and Chen Hengpin, the Federation of Trade Unions Mak Meijuan, the political round table Tian Beichen and the independent He Junyao. There are only 3 districts in the west. If the original team runs for election again, it is obvious that there are too many people and some people may have to transfer to the electoral committee to continue their careers as members.
It is rumored that He Junyao moved to the election committee
With the restructuring of this election, the threshold for participating in the Legislative Council election has been greatly increased. Candidates must obtain at least two nominations from each of the five major sectors before they can "enter the gate" to register. With various barriers set up, the democrats’ general willingness to participate in elections has been greatly reduced, and some people have even expressed their unwillingness to accept "humiliation" from the National People’s Congress and the CPPCC for nomination.
According to some organizations, the political circles generally estimate that if the democrats stand in the election, the two camps can each get 10 seats, but they think this statement is a bit "taken for granted," because the first thing to do is to figure out whether the "opposing party" still wants to run for the election. Can you get enough nominations for the election?
He estimated that even if some democrats participated in the election, they may have been rejected due to insufficient nomination. "There is no need to wait for the DQ of the review committee." The counter-proposal establishment should be prepared to "elect and reserve." If the democratic camp eventually If there is no representative to fight in a certain electoral district, "Plan B" should also sign up for the election and arrange one district and two seats for the establishment. This is beneficial to traditional political parties such as the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong and the Federation of Trade Unions, which have always had direct elections.
Some institutional core figures said that the new electoral system may not only make the pan-popular not want to run in the election, and voters may not actively vote, but it is beneficial to the establishment. It is estimated that the establishment camp can be more than half of the direct elections in the region.
▼Change of Election Committee Sector▼
He Junyao: It is still too early to consider transferring to the committee sector
There is still a period of time before the general election of the Legislative Council in December. Different parties in the establishment are still waiting to see the situation. They are thinking about whether to stay in the direct election battlefield or change the track. It is rumored that Ho Junyao, a member of the New Territories West and a large number of "blue camp" supporters, is considering electing sectors.
When receiving enquiries, He Junyao said that the current time has not yet been decided. He pointed out that the number of direct elections in the region has been reduced. If there are people from the democratic camp, it will inevitably increase the competition between the establishments. But the most important thing is who can successfully "enter the gate."
He admitted that he was considering moving to the electoral committee sector, but he did not find it particularly easy to be elected. He also said that he had been a directly elected member for five years, and that no matter where he was, voters would seek his help.
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Electoral restructuring｜Tam Yaozong advocates for district councils to re-appoint appointed members, Ti Zhiyuan, worried about intensifying political confrontation
Electoral restructuring｜Fan Tai points out that the central government is so tolerant: Hong Kong people should know that they are wrong and there will be opposition to the Legislative Council
Election reforms: Zheng Ruohua: The public should not vote in vain and will study whether regulation is adequate
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Patriots Ruling Hong Kong, the National People’s Congress (NPC), National People’s Congress (People’s Congress), He Junyao, Mai Meijuan, and the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong
