Eduardo Paladini
04/25/2021 10:27 AM
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 04/25/2021 10:27 AM
Month by month, sometimes biweekly if the situation requires it, the consulting firm
Analogías
conducts public opinion studies for the duo that leads to the toughest Kirchnerism:
Máximo and Cristina Kirchner
. On the one hand, they systematically follow a series of data to see its evolution; on the other, they add new variables according to the debates of the moment. The April study of this firm, which was the one that officially worked for the former president's campaign in 2017, brought news in both fields: the
image of Alberto Fernández
shows his
worst numbers since he took office
and there is a
striking tie
regarding the
face classes
.
The survey of
Analogies
that advances
Clarin
on Sunday was between 20 and 21 April, with
2,943 cases
.
It was through telephone interviews and the results were presented with a margin of error of +/- 2%.
Throughout the work, different data appear that support the configuration of a complex scenario.
For example, it is clear that
concern is growing about the health consequences
of the second wave of coronavirus, but in parallel there are
doubts about the effectiveness of a stricter closure
due to the economic consequences that it would entail.
New national survey of Analogías.
The image of President Alberto Fernández.
New national survey of Analogías.
The image of President Alberto Fernández.
"
For the first time, since September
, the 'greatest concern at this time' is accumulating in the health field, with a predominance with respect to the still very deteriorated economic problems. But even more, the component
'Collapse of the Health System' doubled
with respect to March, while the fear of self-infection remains constant since October, "the report explains at the start.
And then he warns about the impact on Fernández's valuation and economic expectations: "In this context of extreme rigor, the image of the President presents the
smallest positive differential of all his series
in office: almost 7 net favorable points (52.6 % positive and 45.9% negative). For their part, expectations about the economic situation are also the most pessimistic of the entire series: only 33% were 'optimistic' ".
Then, it is noticed by a
duality of opinions
, which could be summarized as follows:
pessimism in the economy, optimism in vaccines
.
"A vast majority considers that a further deterioration of the already low real wage will ensue and that the country's large businessmen are not collaborating to overcome the crisis. But on the other hand, confidence in the vaccines that are applied in Argentina and the expectation is growing with achieving a level of immunity in this way it has not stopped growing in recent months ".
New national survey of Analogías.
What people think of measures to control the pandemic.
New national survey of Analogías.
Opinion on vaccines.
The hope for vaccines, however,
again collides with other alerts
.
One for the Government, regarding the effectiveness of the measures that are being taken to combat Covid: there, although narrowly, the opinions are more negative than positive;
even when it is specifically consulted on the procedures to obtain the vaccines.
In addition, there is a generalized disbelief regarding compliance with the restrictions, which calls into question the effectiveness of a stricter confinement.
A
30.2% expressed directly at odds with close more activities
, as is
currently evaluating the national government with strong pressure from the governor Axel Kicillof.
The debate over face-to-face classes
When asked in particular about the current debate, the
face-to-face classes
, a crack is also filtered almost in equal parts:
46.8% believe that they must be suspended and 46.6% think that they do not
.
Although in other polls the percentage in favor of presence is a little higher, these figures call attention to a
study that circulates in the Buenos Aires Kirchnerism
, where they clearly claim to return to virtual education at least for a few weeks.
New national survey of Analogías.
How the restriction measures are being complied with.
New national survey of Analogías.
What do people think about face-to-face classes.
Finally, the
Analogías
survey
addresses a very sensitive issue within the ruling party.
As
Clarín
announced
last week, Cristina has already let Alberto Fernández know that she believes that
social plans
, as they are configured now, have
reached a limit
and should be replaced by programs that promote employment.
The survey addresses this issue in its final conclusions:
- "As we have been revealing in a series of studies, and we confirm in this national monitor, the misnamed 'social plans' are not accepted by the majority even on the condition that unemployment and poverty persist:
51% consider that they are not necessary
".
New national survey of Analogías.
Opinion on social plans.
New national survey of Analogías.
People are calling for new youth employment plans.
- "But, on the other hand, almost
60% approve the application of the $ 15,000 benefit
announced by the National Government for unemployed, unregistered, informal and inactive workers who live in areas where restrictions on mobility will be applied for reasons sanitary ".
- "Almost 82% of those surveyed considered it appropriate that there be a
disciplinary extension and integration of support programs for the education and employment of Youth
".
