After the vaccination summit, Angela Merkel presented a new corona bill.
In the formula, the incidence doubled.
What does the numbers game mean?
Berlin - The results of the vaccination summit were eagerly awaited on Monday.
However, the federal and state governments did not present any really concrete results after their deliberations.
Ulrich Weigeldt, chairman of the German Medical Association fumed that “unspecific announcements were made” and “vague hopes were raised”.
However, a statement by Chancellor Merkel fueled diffuse fears or at least uncertainty.
It was an arithmetic game by the natural scientist.
She initially left open how much influence it would have on Corona policy.
Merkel calculates the doubling of the incidence: vaccination automatically increases corona numbers for a group
If half of the population is vaccinated, "then basically an incidence of 100 in the total population means that for those who have not been vaccinated there is an incidence of 200", calculated the Chancellor.
There is "still a significant risk to our health system", even with a vaccination rate of 50 percent.
What does Angela Merkel (CDU) mean by that?
Does the incidence rate rise when people are vaccinated?
Of course not in the population as a whole.
But contagion still occurs within the unvaccinated populations.
The incidence of this group then goes up.
Eventually the groups get smaller, even if the total number of new infections remains unchanged, the incidence value increases.
Corona in Germany: vaccination progress changes virus events - high incidence among people who have not been vaccinated
This can even be observed at the moment.
The infections have shifted to younger population groups since the start of the vaccination campaign in Germany.
These numbers can be made very clearly recognizable through the prioritization groups.
Experts see this as the first successes of the vaccinations.
Incidentally, the total incidence in Germany fell on Wednesday.
The debate about making it easier for vaccinated people is ongoing and now the Chancellor is calculating that the incidence of non-vaccinated people will inevitably increase as a result of the vaccinations.
Are there any tougher regulations for those who have not been vaccinated?
Corona: New Incidence Formula?
New rules?
Federal press office warned - epidemiologist warns
No.
The federal government does not plan to adjust the incidence values relevant for measures to the vaccination quota, said a spokeswoman for the Federal Press Office when asked by the
picture.
Epidemiologist Klaus Stöhr warned: "Adjusting the incidence formula would falsify the situation and increase the risk of infection."
“Mathematically, the calculation is correct”, admits Stöhr, “but it is not relevant for disease control”.
The corona incidence increases mathematically, but "the risk of infection decreases with the vaccination rate".