Eduardo Paladini
05/04/2021 10:22
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 05/04/2021 10:22
Córdoba is
so
anti-Kirchnerist
that some leaders of Juntos por el Cambio imagine it as the ideal refuge for
Mauricio Macri's political future
. As
Clarín said
, in the delivery of candidacies and changes that are analyzed in the main opposition alliance, there are those who think that the former president could run there. This year or in 2023 for governor. Boldness seems unlikely, but a
new survey
confirms how refractory people from Cordoba are to the Front of All. This is reflected, among other things, in the electoral data for the 2021 legislative elections.
The study that shows this scenario is by
Zuban Córdoba & Asociados
.
It is about the union of two consulting firms: Zuban, specialized more in the world of consumption and business;
and Gustavo Córdoba, the analyst who best predicted the 2019 presidential STEP, who currently also works as an advisor to Senator K Carlos Caserio.
Between April 19 and 23, they surveyed
800 people from Cordoba
.
The political importance of Córdoba is not only qualitative in the logic of the crack.
Several elections ago,
the province became the second district with the most voters in the country
, below Buenos Aires, and above Córdoba and CABA.
In 2019 it reached almost 9% of the total eligible voters.
Alberto's (dis) approval and the latest electoral data
One of the first data that reflects the negative view of the Cordovan with the national ruling party is when they are consulted for the
approval of the management of Alberto Fernández
.
The
balance is clearly unfavorable
, with 62.4% against and 36.8% in favor.
Almost the inverse of Governor
Juan Schiaretti
, also a Peronist but anti-K, who adds + 59.1% and -38%.
Then the
local image of four national leaders
is evaluated
.
The only one with a favorable balance is the head of the Buenos Aires government,
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
(+ 56.1% and -33%).
They are followed by
Macri
(+ 40.3% and - 57.2%),
Fernández
(+ 36% and - 62%) and
Cristina Kirchner
(+ 30.9% and - 67.7%).
v 1.5
Survey in the province of Córdoba 1
Based on a Cordovan survey of 800 cases.
Tap to explore the data
Source:
Zuban Córdoba & Asociados
Infographic:
Clarín
Regarding the electoral chapter, the survey begins with a general question, with a predominantly oppositional result.
-
57.5%
answered that for "senators and deputies" they will vote
"opposition candidates to Alberto Fernández and Cristina Kirchner"
, against 26.6% who will favor those who "defend" them.
A
difference of 30 points, similar
to the one that Juntos por el Cambio took out from the Frente de Todos in
October 2019
.
The voting intention of
seven possible candidates for national senators
was then measured
.
Three variants of Together for Change were at the top:
1)
Luis Juez
(Civic Front): 20.1% of "sure vote" and 27.5% of "probable vote" (total
47.6%
).
2)
Mario Negri
(UCR): 22.2% of "sure vote" and 24.3% of "probable vote" (total
46.5%
).
3)
Rodrigo de Loredo
(UCR): 14% of "sure vote" and 26.7% of "probable vote" (total
40.7%
).
v 1.5
Survey in the province of Córdoba 2
Based on a Cordovan survey of 800 cases.
Tap to explore the data
Source:
Zuban Córdoba & Asociados
Infographic:
Clarín
Below, another trio was inserted, with
two Kirchnerists and the wife of Governor
Schiaretti, Alejandra Vigo, current deputy and who sounds to head the ticket for We do for Córdoba.
It is the provincial alliance of the president that (at least for now) does not include Kirchnerism.
4)
Carlos Caserio
(Frente de Todos): 10% of "sure vote" and 25.2% of "probable vote" (total
35.2%
).
5)
Alejandra Vigo
(We do for Córdoba): 7.1% of "sure vote" and 22.1% of "probable vote" (total
29.2%
).
6)
Gabriela Estévez
(Frente de Todos): 10.9% of "sure vote" and 15% of "probable vote" (total
25.9%
)
v 1.5
Survey in the province of Córdoba 3
Based on a Cordovan survey of 800 cases.
Tap to explore the data
Source:
Zuban Córdoba & Asociados
Infographic:
Clarín
Seventh and last was the former Minister of Tourism
Gustavo Santos
, whom Macri supported to head the list of Together for Change in his recent visit to the province.
It has 7.1% of "sure vote" and 17.1% of "probable vote" (total
24.2%
).
Then different combinations of candidates are presented. The variants of Together for Change are always at the top, with Kirchnerism second and We do for Córdoba third.
With an alert for the opposition
: the judge who measures the best is, who said that he could go "outside" if there is no agreement with the PRO and radicalism on how to put together the lists.
