Eduardo Paladini
05/15/2021 9:54 AM
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 05/15/2021 9:54 AM
It is not clear how much his recent crossroads with the unionists who were his allies until he left the government of Cristina Kirchner, in that distant 2015, can add or subtract him. Or his criticism of the picketers who accompanied him in his electoral adventure in 2017. But yes There is already a parameter to know how
Florencio Randazzo
leaves
for the Buenos Aires legislatures of 2021, if he finally decides to bet on a new Peronist third way.
Clarín
agreed to a provincial survey that measured his
image and voting intention
. It was not bad.
The study is by
CB Consultora Opinion Pública
, a firm with origins in Córdoba that conducts surveys throughout the country.
His last work was a survey between May 11 and 13, in the province of Buenos Aires, of
1,559 cases
.
This newspaper advanced part of the results, where three potential candidates of the ruling party were evaluated: Sergio Berni, Santiago Cafiero and Daniel Arroyo.
Image of Randazzo
After a very long silence, the former Minister of the Interior and Transport decided at the beginning of April to whitewash his new attempt to relaunch the "third way", with
Peronists disenchanted
with the crack: not only
with the Frente de Todos
, but
also with Juntos por el Change
.
Part of that agreement
could include Consenso Federal
, by Roberto Lavagna, and former governors such as Juan Manuel Urtubey.
It seems more difficult that they can incorporate Macrista Peronists such as Miguel Pichetto or Emilio Monzó.
In that scheme, Randazzo could once again lead the option outside the two main spaces.
In 2017
he did quite badly with his Justicialist Front
, which included the PJ stamp and had Alberto Fernández among the campaign bosses.
He got only 6%
.
Between Cambiemos and Unidad Ciudadana they took about 80 points and Sergio Massa, another 11.
Buenos Aires survey of CB Consultant Public Opinion: the image of Florencio Randazzo.
The question today is perhaps what would happen with that flow of Massa:
will it join the Frente de Todos as happened in 2019 or could it go to the Randazzo bag?
In a personal way, the former minister leaves with good image numbers and even votes, which will then have to be seen if he can translate them at the polls, when the offers are on the table.
Randazzo has more positive than negative evaluation (47% to 38.7%)
, a privilege that few politicians show today.
In this balance of image, for example, he is doing
better than Berni, Cafiero and Arroyo
, the three official members that
CB
measured
.
And he also has a relatively high level of knowledge (14.3% of "I don't know").
Randazzo's vows
As there are still four months left for the PASO, the consulting firm
evaluated the potentiality of the vote of the Buenos Aires leaders
.
What is known as the electoral floor and ceiling.
Who would surely or probably choose them and who almost completely discards it.
Randazzo's combo in this area is also good:
part of a double-digit floor
: 10.6% responded that "they would surely vote for it."
And
its ceiling exceeded 40 points
, when 30.7% who "could vote for it" were added.
The rejection is similar to their ceiling and they complete
17.3 undecided points.
Buenos Aires survey by CB Consultant Public Opinion: Florencio Randazzo's electoral floor and ceiling.
Compared with the offers of official Peronism,
its floor is relatively low
(Berni exceeds 20 points) but
its ceiling is high
(it surpasses Cafiero and Arroyo in this item).
In any case, as has already been clarified, much will depend on how the electoral offers are formed.
When
CB
asked the general question in this regard, the
results left an open scenario.
The Frente de Todos reached 30.7% and Juntos por el Cambio 23.5%.
13% said they would favor "another force", but the
majority were the undecided: 32.8%
.