There is no trace of permanent spring or even summer in Germany in May.
It stays that way at least until Pentecost.
Even after that, however, the weather does not necessarily have to improve, according to the models.
Munich - Waiting for real spring or even the harbingers of summer will be a real test of patience this year.
The hopes that after the ice saints the situation would suddenly change in the second half of May have long since been dashed.
The actual merry month presents itself rather in April garb.
The inconsistent weather is the only consistency in Germany.
Meteorologist Jan Schenk from the
Weather Channel is
already declaring May to be too cold and wet - despite some uncertainties for the past week and a half.
"The weather will remain changeable until Pentecost, but it could actually be that Pentecost will be the turning point," says the expert.
Weather around Whitsun: Warm air does not get through to Germany because of the polar jet
His explanation for the still modest weather situation in this country: A high pressure area over Greenland pushes the polar jet south. As a result, Germany is on the cold side, there is no getting through for warm air. "It stays cool, it stays changeable", Schenk sums up the coming days. In addition to plenty of rain - up to 100 liters poured onto the square meter by Pentecost - the sun also lets out a glimpse of the sun, but it is "not particularly warm".
Only on the bank holiday weekend would temperature waves build up on the Atlantic: "This increases the chance that warm air will come to us again." On the Saturday before Pentecost, temperatures of up to 17 degrees can be reached in the north-east, but in the south and west at most eleven to 13 degrees inside.
But after that the thermometer goes uphill, it can be hoped for 20 degrees, maybe even up to 25 degrees.
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From wet to wet: Despite rainy weather, a dip in the water can provide refreshment.
© Thomas Warnack / dpa
Weather around Whitsun: European model sees a maximum of 15 degrees in Germany
But this prognosis does not yet seem too certain.
Because Alban Burster from
wetter.com
estimates the chances of a warm Whitsun based on the various weather models at 35 percent.
According to the meteorologist, it is more likely to remain “changeable, cool and windy”.
The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) sees a low pressure area over Scandinavia and a high over the Atlantic around Pentecost.
This is a "classic weather situation that the air mass flows from the northwest towards Germany".
Because it will be “fairly fresh”, ten to 15 degrees are possible at most.
Whitsun weather: US model raises hopes for warmer holidays
The US weather service, on the other hand, predicts significantly more pleasant Whitsun days in its GFS model - the abbreviation stands for Global Forecast System.
According to him, the coldest air mass would hit Germany only in the very east.
The high pressure area is here south of the British Isles, but extends to the west of the Federal Republic.
The warm air would flow from the southwest towards Central Europe.
However, Burster also shows that the last week of May is still associated with large fluctuations in terms of the forecast.
In the worst case, temperatures in Munich these days can even slide into the single digits.
Which would undoubtedly have more of winter than summer.
(mg)
List of rubric lists: © Peter Kneffel / dpa
