The PP cuts from 10.9 points to only 4.5 the distance with the PSOE after the Madrid elections, according to the CIS

The President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, during a ceremony in Madrid on Monday.Mariscal / EFE

The advantage of the PSOE over the PP has been cut in just one month by more than half. The 10.9-point cushion that the Socialists had in April has been reduced to 4.5 points, according to the latest barometer from the Center for Sociological Research (CIS). The main party of the Government remains the main political force (27.9%), but loses 3.6 points and would obtain a worse result than the one it achieved in its victory in the general elections of November 2019 (28%). The PP grows 2.8 points compared to the previous month and obtains 23.4% in voting intention, driven by the victory in the Madrid elections. Faced with Pablo Casado's requests for an electoral advance, Pedro Sánchez already transmitted to the federal leadership of the PSOE, after the Madrid fiasco, his intention to exhaust the legislature. The elections, he reiterated,will be held at the end of 2023.

Vox continues as the third party, but its support decreases and has a 13.7%, compared to 15.4% in April.

United We can obtain three tenths less than the previous month, 10.4%, when the departure of Pablo Iglesias from the second vice-presidency of the Government was formalized.

The members of the Executive add together a vote estimate of 38.3%.

The PP and the far right are very close, with 37.1%.

After its last setback in Madrid, where it lost its 26 seats, Ciudadanos continues to fall and stands at 5.3%, 1.4 points less than in April.

Más País-Compromís doubles its intention to vote in a month (3.8%), driven by the good result in the Madrid 4-M elections, where Mónica García's candidacy became the second most voted after surpassing the PSOE .

In the previous barometer, published with the campaign in Madrid already underway, the PSOE continued in the lead with a vote estimate of 31.5% and an advantage of 11 points over the PP, which then had a vote estimate of 20 , 6%. Vox stood at 15.4%, four tenths more than in the month of March, and Unidos Podemos gained slightly more than one point to reach 10.7% after the departure of Pablo Iglesias from the coalition Executive. Citizens, touched by the crisis unleashed after the failed motion of censure in Murcia, stood at 6.7% at the time.

For the fieldwork of its latest demographic work, the CIS has conducted 3,814 interviews between May 4 and 13. It is, therefore, the first study published by the organism after the results of 4-M, in which the PP of Isabel Díaz Ayuso obtained more seats than the three forces of the left combined, leaving only four deputies of the absolute majority. The regional elections, with a hegemony of the right that the CIS did not foresee, also forced a real political earthquake. Pablo Iglesias announced his departure from politics on the same election night, as he did not function as the trigger he was looking for for United We Can. Citizens disappeared from the Assembly, devoured by the PP, while the PSOE obtained the worst results in its history in the community and its candidate, Ángel Gabilondo, resigned days later.For its part, Más Madrid, the formation founded two years earlier, managed to outnumber the Socialists with a candidate, Mónica García, who improved all the projections.

Regarding the evaluation of leaders, Sánchez, with 4.3 points out of 10 possible, is the one that receives the best score, although he does not achieve the approved one and falls one tenth compared to April. Casado obtains a 3.6, in his case one tenth more than in the previous barometer. Both Inés Arrimadas, president of Ciudadanos (3.5), and Pablo Iglesias, former leader of United We Can (3.1), would stay with the same note as a month before. Santiago Abascal repeats as the worst rated, with 2.6 and two tenths less than in April. The Prime Minister is also the highest-rated political leader for his performance in the pandemic with 4.5, eight tenths more than Casado (3.7). Former vice president Iglesias and Arrimadas obtain a 3.4 and Abascal closes the assessment: 2.6.

Sánchez does not generate trust in 70.6% of those surveyed, a very high percentage, but still lower than the distrust caused by Casado (83.7%).

While 26.2% trust the president, Casado inspires confidence 11.9%.

21.7% prefer that the secretary general of the PSOE be the current president, while 12.5% ​​prefer the leader of the opposition.

The podium of the main problems according to the Spanish does not vary compared to April.

The economic crisis continues to lead (46.3%), ahead of the covid (41.6%) and unemployment (39.3%).

The bad behavior of politicians (17.7%) and political problems in general (17%) are the next concerns of citizens.

One of the contradictions that are repeated month after month in the CIS barometer is that, while the majority of respondents (85%) consider that the economic situation in Spain is bad or very bad, those who define their economic situation as good or very bad. 59.5% of the participants in the survey are good on this occasion.