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Written by: Yu Pinhai
2021-05-24 17:00
Last update date: 2021-05-24 17:00
Does the central government understand Hong Kong?
Obviously don't understand!
If it understands, why did it realize that Hong Kong people are so dissatisfied after the riots?
Hong Kong has returned to Hong Kong for more than 20 years. Social turmoil is not accidental. In the distance, there were 500,000 demonstrations in 2003. The most recent ones were the Occupy Central in 2014 and the Mong Kok riots in 2016. The most serious was in 2019. This time the anti-amendment riots.
As a person who has been observing its development over the past few decades, I am convinced that the central government has excellent governance capabilities. It is never hasty and meticulous, and it is not a government that seeks refuge in trouble. However, the so-called sparseness of Hong Kong’s political situation. There are indeed areas that may be overlooked. This also makes us better understand that the great innovation of "one country, two systems" cannot be achieved with a few words, nor can it be achieved by following the rules.
"Refuge with caution, and respect with detail" is a sentence that President Xi Jinping likes to use to warn officials. It means not to be contemptuous when dealing with easy things. Being cautious is enough to avoid making them difficult to handle. ; Handling small problems with awe, and big troubles will be far away from you.
This sentence is very appropriate to analyze the Hong Kong problem.
Many mainland friends think that Hong Kong has always managed well. The mainland has only developed in recent decades. Many things are still learning from Hong Kong's experience. How can we help Hong Kong?
This observation proved wrong in hindsight.
As long as we dig deeper, the Communist Party of China believes in historical materialism. How can it fail to understand the laws of development of capitalism, including the various system defects hidden under the glamorous surface?
However, the central government did underestimate the complexity of Hong Kong's political situation in the past, thinking that it is easy and trivial, and that "the water of the well does not violate the river."
Many people in Hong Kong complain that the central government only knows to communicate with the business community and cannot see the deep-seated problems of Hong Kong. The Hong Kong and Macau system in charge of Hong Kong affairs is even more out of focus. They may have misled the central government, thinking that the political chaos in Hong Kong is just a small group of people. make trouble.
However, the 2003 demonstrations had not already reminded the central government of the complexity of Hong Kong politics, so Mr. Tung Chee-hwa resigned midway; in 2014, Occupy Central focused the main body of contradictions on young people, and Mr. Liang Zhenying did not seek re-election because of this?
There is a saying in Hong Kong, "It is better to be late than never." In recent years, the central government has finally realized the insufficiency of the policy of governing Hong Kong. Therefore, at the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, it made a thorough reform decision, including changing the personnel structure of the Hong Kong governing system.
Do Hong Kong people understand the Chinese Communist Party?
Obviously don't understand!
If you understand, why don’t you realize that it will adopt severe measures to stop the riots, and only when it decisively legislates for national security and even adjusts the electoral system to ensure that protesters who violate national security cannot enter the power system?
Hong Kong people are not stupid, nor do they live in an illusory world. However, the political theory dominated by liberal ideology for a long time has been brainwashed, which has established deep-rooted prejudices against the mainland, and has established a barrier to unfamiliar discourses. It is impossible to hear from the central government. The warning, let alone the great progress in national governance.
The impulse of young people is understandable. Pan-min’s top figures are also speculative and laissez-faire. They have no respect for Hong Kong’s political ethics. They are so ridiculous that they put their political future in the hands of British and American politicians. Is this ignorance and ignorance out of sufficient understanding? ?
"Refuge with caution, and be ambitious with carefulness." This is a sentence that President Xi Jinping likes to use to warn officials.
(Profile picture/Xinhua News Agency)
The illusion of "paradise" obscures Hong Kong's great transformation
I have repeatedly mentioned the principle of "using small things to make great use of wisdom". It is easy to understand, but not easy to do. The reason is very simple. It is inseparable from human ignorance and arrogance.
I look at the previous statements of radical pan-democratic politicians. They don’t know the basis on which they believe that Hong Kong and the central government have the same political status.
In politics, ignorance of self-knowledge and ignorance of the strength of opponents must pay a heavy price.
To understand the opponent, we must first understand its existence and its rationale or background.
What is big, that is, it can be "suppressed" small, no matter if it refers to small strength, more money, less money, or even height comparison in a basketball game.
On the surface, the relationship is given. In reality, the wise can still manage the relationship to avoid the result of "overwhelming the small with the big," while the fool will backfire.
Take the legislation of Article 23 of the Basic Law as an example. Hong Kong society has been unwilling to legislate for a long time, and the methods will not be unacceptable to the central government. As a result, there has been no progress in 17 years.
In 2014, the central government proposed the 831 plan for the election of the chief executive, which was rejected by the Hong Kong Legislative Council. This was the first time in Chinese history that the lower-level parliament vetoed the decision of the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress. Modifying the election mechanism. Doesn't this explain exactly how it has persisted in perseverance before?
The difference between before and after is obvious to all. It is not impossible, but unwilling.
The development after the anti-amendment riots can only prove the nonsense of hitting rocks with pebbles. Mao Zedong's "Man Jiang Hong.
"And Comrade Guo Moruo" wrote, "The ants are bound to exaggerate the country, and it is easy for the worm to shake the tree." Although the background of the words and sentences is different, they can still be used to remind the self-righteous: Why should we know today?
"Understanding" is an extremely difficult task to do well, not to mention the "understanding" in the era of great transformation.
What is "Great Transformation"?
It is easy to understand the development of the Mainland in the past few decades, but it is not easy to realize that Hong Kong has also undergone a "great transformation" in the past few decades.
The transformation of things is simple and clear from the appearance, but the transformation within is difficult to identify.
In the past few decades, the mainland has undergone tremendous changes in both appearance and essence. Most people only see the appearance and think that they understand the meaning of the change. In fact, they are just looking at the leopard, knowing one thing and not knowing the other, but at least they know that a change has occurred.
However, because of superficial understanding, it may also be motivated by political sophistry. Many people describe the development of the Mainland for decades as unsustainable, trying to mislead everyone that the essence of the CCP’s state governance has not changed, and use this as a rationale to promote China’s collapse theory. Some Hong Kong people who lacked independent judgment were brainwashed and were extremely poisoned. They even knew it was a lie without knowing it. As a result, they didn't want to see any changes, let alone "understand."
Hong Kong is full of skyscrapers and colorful. Many mainlanders think this is paradise. In fact, Hong Kong has never been paradise. Some people even think that it is a luxuriant and corrupted city. It has long been flashy and vain.
Regardless of past evaluations, today’s social consensus is that Hong Kong is in deep-seated contradictions. The gap between the rich and the poor is serious. Behind the towering and beautiful buildings, there are sub-apartments everywhere. The surface is glamorous, but when you walk in, it is unsightly. Political Instability is closely related to this.
Just looking at the surface, it is difficult for ordinary people to see through the essential changes. It seems that not many people clearly see the deep-seated problems in the United States. It is difficult to understand why it has frequent shooting crimes, proliferation of drugs, and racial discrimination since the founding of the country. It’s so strong that you don’t need to print money for more than ten years.
For Hong Kong, the central government did not see its internal changes clearly, while the elites in Hong Kong turned a blind eye to changes for various reasons. Most people are estimated to be ashamed to speak out, unwilling to accept the reality, admit that they are the loser of the system, and they are all buried in ideological clamor. in.
China-US relations have undergone drastic changes in the past few decades.
(Information Picture/Reuters)
Viewing the Essence of Qing's Relationship between Central and Hong Kong from the Game between China and America
If there is no mutual understanding, it is impossible to establish mutual respect.
The relationship between Hong Kong and the mainland is not equal, but many Hong Kong people show incomprehensible arrogance towards the mainland and even the central government, making it difficult to establish a relationship that conforms to each other's identities.
Although the relationship between the central and local governments is part of the relationship between the central and local governments, which is different from the reciprocal sovereign state relationship between China and the United States, it may be possible to better understand the nature of the relationship between Hong Kong and the Mainland by understanding the relationship between China and the United States.
China-US relations have undergone drastic changes in the past few decades.
From when Nixon flew to Beijing to seek diplomatic ice-breaking when China and the United States did not have diplomatic relations, President Carter gave up diplomatic relations with Taiwan and formally established diplomatic relations with China. Today, U.S. politicians launch a trade war with no chance of winning, even without factual basis. It is absurd to use "genocide" to criticize the CCP’s Xinjiang policy. These historical fluctuations have given everyone a better understanding of how American politics oscillates between friendliness and ugliness in accordance with the needs of interests.
Take the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the Syrian civil war, and even the dispute between Turkey and Armenia as examples. Facts and justice are irrelevant to American politicians.
What role the United States plays depends entirely on its own political needs. This explains why the United States prevented the UN Security Council from discussing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and why it actively participated in the overthrow of the Assad regime from the beginning to later hiding behind Kurdish and other rebels on the issue of Armenia. It was only when there was a political need to change the sleek attitude towards Turkey.
Since basic social governance issues such as racial discrimination in the United States, the proliferation of guns and drugs can be played with politically unrecognizable, international affairs are more likely to be manipulated indecently.
U.S. politicians are not ashamed, and at any time will describe the responsibility of the problem as opponents. When internal affairs are involved, they are hostile political parties, and international affairs are inevitably triggered by the actions of other countries.
They often use the attitude of moral judges to accuse others of playing power and fake news, but the United States itself is precisely its main producer and exporter. It is only because it monopolizes the world's public opinion platform that its shamelessness is difficult to be exposed and criticized.
The rise of China will inevitably encounter this arrogant political hooligan, but there is no need for anyone to argue with the United States, because it is impossible to change it, and people who pretend to sleep cannot be awakened.
What China needs to do is to look at how to maintain Sino-US relations in a long-term conflict environment from a strategic perspective.
Sino-US relations are of course important. The economic exchanges between the two involve the basic living needs of the two peoples, and even directly affect the world's economic development, but there is no longer a question of who needs whom.
The populist politics of the United States has caused economic and trade relations to be rounded up and squashed, and it has also used Hong Kong and Taiwan issues to make grandstandings. Politicians are always happy.
This is because the Sino-U.S. relationship can play a role in shifting responsibility for domestic failures in the United States today. Although American voters have long expressed their disbelief in politicians, they will still be misled by false statements. The result is real interests and political balance. During the election, it will only follow the more able politicians to swing.
During the Trump administration, a trade war broke out between China and the United States. The picture shows Trump giving a speech in Florida, USA in February 2021 (Getty Images)
The political culture of the United States prevents voters from accepting that the government does not maintain the dominance of the United States, so that the biggest social consensus that has been distorted is to prevent the rise of China.
However, the formation of China's rising trend is the result of the development of the past few decades. The American elites realized that after being criticized by populist voices that this development was not conducive to their elections, they began to save it by distorting the facts.
They lie that China has plans to challenge the dominance of the United States, but this statement is false.
Even in the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, the disintegration of the Soviet Union was due to its poor governance, and the United States passively became the only superpower.
The decline or revival of China also has its own laws and will not happen because of what the United States does or does not do.
Once China succeeds in developing its economy and improving people’s lives, with its population size, it will of course replace the United States in terms of economic aggregates. The United States surpassed China or Europe in the past because of its use of technology and rapid population growth to bring North America to this part of the world. The Badlands became the most powerful country.
Today, China has also grown up because of reforms in various fields that have been done right. It has nothing to do with the poor governance of the United States. China could not stop the rise of Europe in the past, and the United States cannot stop China's rise and surpass today.
However, American politicians will not frankly tell the people about what is inevitable. Because of the needs of the election, they will show to the voters that they are actively restricting China's transcendence, and even mislead the voters how successful they are.
Since the answer will only be known a long time later, this kind of deception can never be held accountable.
The Chinese government has nothing to deal with. If it has to say when it is suitable for China to "make a move," it only needs to wait for the other party to fully awaken and run out of energy. Whatever it does now will only get half the result with half the effort.
The Sino-US relationship itself is not comparable to the relationship between Hong Kong and the central government, but the relativity of things can always be used for reference.
In the early days of the Sino-US trade war, the US government’s bluffing made China seem like a catastrophe, but everyone knows the result.
It turns out that the new crown epidemic is the real national power game, and the result is also very different from the original imagination.
Obviously, the law of development of the matter will not be led by clamor and abuse, and the size of the loudspeaker will not change the nature of the matter. This is a warning to the United States’ China policy and to some Hong Kong people’s unfounded hostility to the central government. Disease is as useful.
Seeking truth from facts, speaking with facts, and persuading people with reason is what politics should mean.
Falsifications, feints, and even the use of low-level violence will not last long and will not help.
This is true for Sino-US relations, and the same is true for central-Hong Kong relations, not to mention that the latter is a subordinate relationship.
Build a reform communication platform to unite the people
You may have noticed that Hong Kong's recent reforms are all around.
In addition to the backbone of the establishment, the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong, which vigorously promoted Hong Kong's "change", Vice Premier Han Zheng, who is in charge of Hong Kong and Macao affairs, emphasized that Hong Kong must solve deep-seated problems in many meetings in the past two years. It is rumored that the Liaison Office of the Central Committee will visit the grassroots in the near future. , Understand the people's conditions, and build momentum for Hong Kong to promote reforms. The Pan-Democratic Party Democratic Party also set up a working group to understand the political conditions of the Mainland.
People's livelihood has once again become a discussion of various political forces, and even the government has exercised a high-profile implementation of the Land Resumption Ordinance to reclaim agricultural land in the hands of real estate developers in Yuen Long.
If these are the harbingers of real reforms, perhaps the political conflicts that have been tossing for many years have played a positive role.
When it comes to social reform, the Democratic Party should be the first political organization to put forward social and people's livelihood issues. It is a pity that this kind of voice was later overwhelmed by ideological slogans, and they themselves did not insist too much.
Nowadays, since all sectors of the political spectrum are emphasizing reform, it should be a social consensus. Hong Kong people and the central government should build a communication platform for reform, work together to solve deep-seated problems, and at the same time increase mutual understanding, and hope that it can be passed Understand and achieve political reconciliation.
Political reconciliation has been the work of all parties after Occupy Central. After Chief Executive Lam Cheng took office, he worked hard to repair with the Pan Democratic Party, and even donated 30,000 yuan to the Democratic Party. It became a hot topic in the city. The subsequent conflict proved that reconciliation is not a polite thing. It can be obtained by supporting each other.
Others believe that the problem can be solved by driving the protesters away, prosecuting all the pan-democratic politicians, or using other means to silence them.
This may be a short-term means of stopping violence and chaos, but it has no effect on dealing with deep-seated contradictions.
If today there are people who deliberately ignore the deep-seated contradictions and think that the riots in Hong Kong are just a small group of people doing things, then they are really sinful.
Reconciliation without consensus is nothing but a tree without roots, just as there is no understanding of where to respect.
The prerequisite for true reconciliation must be sincere mutual understanding and mutual respect.
The greatest respect given by the Chinese Communist Party to Hong Kong people is the formulation of "One Country, Two Systems." Hong Kong people's greatest respect for the CCP can also be "One Country, Two Systems." However, there seems to be some differences in the understanding of "One Country, Two Systems" between the two, which requires more mutual understanding. Only then can there be a consensus gradually.
In addition to "one country, two systems," reforms are likely to become the latest consensus between Hong Kong people and the central government.
Like "One Country, Two Systems," it is still unknown whether everyone has common connotations in the reform. It is estimated that even if there is a gap, it will not be as serious as "One Country, Two Systems."
That being the case, everyone can increase exchanges and work together on reform issues, and take the opportunity to increase mutual understanding. Perhaps they can also enhance mutual understanding of "one country, two systems."
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