Alejandra Pataro
05/25/2021 11:45 AM
Clarín.com
World
Updated 05/25/2021 11:45 AM
One week of confinement.
One week of opening.
A week of closure and another of opening ... and so on.
Since June 2020, the Nicolás Maduro regime has applied in Venezuela a plan of strict and short quarantines, followed by short and controlled reopening, in what they call
the "7 + 7 Plan"
against the coronavirus.
The Argentine government's decision to "close" for 9 days to curb the peak of infections and the wave of deaths in the country could be the beginning of a series of
intermittent closings and openings
throughout the winter, while trying to advance vaccination ;
a system that, if carried out, is reminiscent of the Venezuelan recipe of 7 + 7.
Maduro's plan
When Venezuela enters the seven days of closure, only workers in the health, food and security sector are allowed to circulate with their respective safe-conduct.
On days of easing,
ten economic sectors
can return to activity, but very specific time restrictions are set for each of them.
Nicolás Maduro in a government act today, in Caracas (Venezuela).
Photo: EFE
At the beginning, when the pandemic
struck the first blows
in the region, the week of restrictions was strictly adhered to.
The radical week was applied rigorously, although exceptions were made in popular areas and it was modified on some
holidays.
But more than a year into the pandemic and in the midst of a second wave of coronavirus more severe than the first, the lack of rigor with which the restriction measures are applied
worries experts
, who see 7 + 7 as a
political plan
more than sanitary.
The third week of May 2021 was a radical quarantine in Caracas, but, in the streets, the flow of people was moderate and
the traffic normal.
A paramedic performs the medical report of a patient who is recovering at his home from covid-19, in Caracas.
Photo: EFE
Although it has been shown that paralyzing social activity
serves
to prevent infections, the 7 + 7 plan has been better implemented in areas where there are
better economic resources.
Political scientist Carmen Beatriz Fernández explained to DW that "as the socioeconomic ladder goes down, people
find it difficult to
accept confinement because they live day to day working informally, so the scope works in a very limited way and in middle class strata and tall".
The origins
It was on June 5 of last year when the executive vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, announced the particular system on TV.
"Seven days of work plus seven days of quarantine. But it must be a rigorous,
disciplined
quarantine,
" he ordered.
Without giving too many details, Rodríguez explained that the scheme had been adopted after learning about the recommendations of the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research and the government's Health Commission.
Recommendations that
nobody could check
.
A balance between health and economy
What Rodríguez did not say is that the system is very similar
to the Israeli model
that proposes that people work in cycles of two weeks, with ten days of quarantine and four days of going to work and school;
better known as
the 10-4 system.
Mundo Uri Alon, professor of Biology and one of the researchers who developed the Israeli model, explained to BBC Mundo that it is "a
middle way
that offers a balance between health and economy."
The 10-4 model seeks to take advantage of the so-called
latency period of the virus,
the three days that it is believed that pass from when a person is infected until he can infect others.
Someone who was infected during their period of activity would not develop the symptoms or the ability to infect until they were
already back in the isolation phase
.
If the disease manifests, the confinement should be prolonged, which would prevent it from infecting others.
CASES
0.000.00000.000
per million inhab.
Xxxxx
DEATHS
00,0000,000
per million inhab.
Source:
Johns Hopkins
Chart:
Flourish
|
Infographic:
Clarín
But Israel is not Venezuela.
The first has practically defeated the coronavirus with a mass vaccination plan that is pioneering in the world, while in the region vaccines are scarce or are
reaching droppers.
National and international organizations point out that Venezuela is the country in Latin America with the lowest number of vaccinated people, a fact that the government
has not provided.
Nor is
there any
certainty about the number of vaccines arrived in the country.
Maduro ensures mass immunization of the population for August.
But the numbers of vaccines that the country would currently have received vary depending on who is speaking.
And they range from 930 thousand to almost a million and a half.
Venezuela has a population of
more than 28.5 million
inhabitants.
A health worker opens a package with several doses of Sputnik V, in Caracas.
Photo: dpa
Droplets
The opposition criticizes the regime for improvising and using drugs without any type of endorsement such as "carvativir", a "medicine"
without scientific endorsement
made in the Caribbean country
These are drops that Maduro presented in January and that he said "neutralize covid-19 by 100% when used
every four hours
."
And that despite the criticism it received, they would continue to be used in certain parts of the country.
Presented as a powerful antiviral by the government,
Carvativir or Cimofenol
is actually a substance present in essential oils, such as those of oregano and thyme.
It can be used as a flavoring agent in food and different cosmetic products.
And it is used in homeopathic medicine.
CASES
0.000.00000.000
per million inhab.
Xxxxx
DEATHS
00,0000,000
per million inhab.
Source:
Johns Hopkins
Chart:
Flourish
|
Infographic:
Clarín
Another difference with Israel is that the Venezuelan government's 7-7 system does not fit with the estimated latency period of the virus, since one week is enough time for someone to
contract, incubate and transmit it.
Beyond the effectiveness of the plan (no one really knows the true numbers of infections and deaths in Venezuela), the country has a precarious health system and an
economy in ruins
, factors that do not contribute to fighting the pandemic.
The Pan American Health Organization considers Venezuela one of the
most vulnerable
countries in Latin America
in the
face of the pandemic and the National Hospital Survey, which is prepared annually by the organization Doctors for Health, detected important deficiencies in medical centers.
With
more than 2,400 deaths
from coronavirus and an average of between 800 to 1,000 infected daily, Venezuela is one of the countries with one of the lowest infection
rates
, with 54.3 infected per 100,000 inhabitants.
However, health experts suggest that the official figures are not the real ones, and that the cases could easily be
multiplied by 10.
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