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Global Warming | The Observatory expects a clear upward trend in temperature this summer or less rainfall

2021-06-04T00:41:54.111Z


Hong Kong experienced a hot May. The Observatory announced today (31st) a quarterly forecast for the summer (June to August). The temperature is expected to be normal to high (that is, above 28.9 degrees), and the rainfall is normal to low (that is, less than 1101). Mm


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Written by: Lao Minyi

2021-05-31 11:57

The last update date: 2021-05-31 11:59

Hong Kong experienced a hot May. The Observatory announced today (31st) a quarterly forecast for the summer (June to August). The temperature is expected to be normal to high (that is, above 28.9 degrees), and the rainfall is normal to low (that is, less than 1101). Mm).

The Observatory assessed that due to the effects of global warming and local urbanization, Hong Kong’s summer temperature has a clear long-term upward trend, and the chances of normal to high temperatures are generally higher.

Climate models around the world predict normal to high temperatures in southern China this summer.

However, computer climate models around the world differ greatly on the rainfall forecasts along the South China coast this summer, and there is no clear consensus. Other objective indicators show that the chances of normal or low rainfall in Hong Kong this summer are slightly higher.

Taking into account the relevant information, the Observatory predicts that the rainfall in Hong Kong this summer will be normal or less, but the uncertainty is high. There is still a chance that Hong Kong will be affected by the torrential rain, and the public should be prepared.

In addition, in the past month or so, the water temperature in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific was generally normal.

Based on the latest ocean observation data and forecasts from multiple climate models around the world, it is expected that the "ENSO neutral" state (that is, no El Niño and La Niña) will continue this summer.

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Hong Kong Observatory Weather Forecast Global Warming

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2021-06-04

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