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The defense establishment estimates: Hamas will not hesitate to switch to rocket fire in the absence of progress in contacts

In Israel, they insist on changing the equation, both operationally and in negotiations, and intend to continue to respond to any breach of the ceasefire.

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• IDF

• Hamas

• Bnei Gantz

• Kochavi Spring

Amir Bohbot

Friday, 18 June 2021, 23:08 Updated: 23:11

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Hamas will not hesitate to switch to rocket fire if no progress is made in the near term, security officials said tonight (Friday).

None of the defense leaders doubt that it will take time for Hamas to understand that Israel is determined to insist on changing the equation and how the negotiations will be conducted, but the intention to respond to any violation - from an incendiary balloon to a rocket - is still valid.

On the other hand, Hamas does not intend to compromise either.

The organization is on the threshold of the demands it has placed on prisoners and missing persons and the transfer of money through the Palestinian Authority, and in Israel it is estimated that they are facing friction, and that they will not hesitate to pass balloons and demonstrations over the rocket launch fence.

Therefore, Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi has instructed to prepare for battle days in the Gaza Strip and increase vigilance by deploying additional Iron Dome batteries.

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Hamas operatives in Gaza (Photo: Reuters)

Following Operation The Wall Guard, Defense Minister Bnei Gantz was quick to declare that Israel intends to change the equation toward the Gaza Strip.

"What was is not what will be," he said, making it clear in the same breath that from now on until progress on the issue of prisoners and missing persons no goods, other than humanitarian equipment, would enter the Gaza Strip.

Ganz also emphasized that any violation of the ceasefire would be met with IDF strikes, and so far the defense establishment has kept its promise.

One of the most important decisions for Ganz is that no funds will be handed over to Hamas in the event of Gaza reconstruction - but only through the Palestinian Authority. The transfer of funds from Qatar and other countries directly to Hamas severely damaged the status of the Palestinian Authority, in the Palestinian street in particular and in the Arab world in general, when it appeared flawed and insignificant. To strengthen its position.

Summary for the next operation

In the internal discussions that have taken place in recent days at the Ministry of Defense, the word patience comes up. This week, Kochavi convened the staff of senior commanders in the dry arm to conclude the operation. During the conference, they were presented with actions and achievements in the field of intelligence, the Air Force, the Operations Division, the Southern Command, the Navy, ICT, the Technology Division and the Home Front Command. One by one, commanders took the stage and presented data based on the work of 20 research teams that continue to work even these days to draw lessons and conclusions.

The Chief of Staff emphasized the work of "Together", not only within the army but also with the GSS, in a way that yielded operational fruits in the field and led to the thwarting of terrorist attacks and personalities on an unprecedented scale compared to previous systems. One of the successes of the operation was the elimination of the heads of research and development of Hamas. A senior security source said this week that "even if they succeed in injecting lathes and other means into the Gaza Strip, it will be difficult for them to recover and produce weapons without quality manpower. This is a very large technological gap."

He also emphasized operations during the operation in all the parallel arenas: Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Judea, Samaria, and other sectors.

According to the chief of staff, another tier that made the difference in this operation was the use of artificial intelligence in a way that increased the rate of production of targets and their attack. Including accuracy in eliminating terrorists inside a tunnel only tens of centimeters wide.

Ganz, Kochavi and Crimson (Photo: Official Website, Elad Malka)

Kochavi clarified that Hamas' perception failed on the ground.

"Next time, Hamas will think twice about who they put in tunnels that they have learned well the capabilities of the army and some Air Force planes know precise bombs," said a security source.

In contrast, there were also failures such as in the field of information and awareness, including three suicide The anti-tank missile, one of which ended in the killing of a Nahal Brigade fighter in the Enrichment Path.

On Saturday night, the chief of staff is scheduled to fly to the United States after repeated postponements. If Hamas decides to escalate the security situation on the Gaza Strip border, he will have to reconsider the flight.

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