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Departmental results 2021
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The essential
After a first round of the departmental elections marked by a record abstention (67.54% in the Oise), will the voters who shunned the ballot box be back? This will be the first big issue of this second round, which takes place this Sunday, with a view to electing the departmental advisers of the 21 cantons of the department. At 5 p.m., the participation rate rose to 27.29% against 27.74% at the same time last Sunday. This midday, it stood at 12.96%, against 15.28% in the first round.
Arriving at the head on the evening of the first round, by collecting 46.33% of the votes (15.16% for the LR pairs and 31.17% for the various right pairs), the outgoing right wing majority appears in a strong position.
Not only is it able to keep the fifteen cantons won in 2015, but it can now take control of three others: Méru, Crépy-en-Valois and Creil.
Read also Abstention, lack of assessors, double ballot ... in Ile-de-France, regional and departmental elections like no other
But beware of overconfidence for the right which will be grappling with the National Rally (NR) in eleven duels.
The far-right party, in sharp decline compared to the 2015 departmental elections (25.46% of the vote), is counting on a remobilization of its electorate this Sunday to keep its two cantons of Crépy-en-Valois and Noyon .
The task will not be easy, especially as the left calls "to beat the RN wherever the union of the left is not in the second round".
The Socialist Party (PS), for its part, already assured of losing the canton of Méru, has its eyes riveted in the direction of Creil and Nogent-sur-Oise, which it hopes to keep.
The Communist Party should for its part remain at the head of its strongholds of Thourotte and Montataire.
At 5 p.m., this Sunday, June 27, the participation was 27.29% in the Oise, against 27.74% in the first round.
Abstention is therefore always very important: for the record, the participation rate was over 54% in 2015.
The forces involved, canton by canton
Canton n ° 1: Beauvais 1.
The outgoing Charles Loquet and Brigitte Lefebvre (right) widened a significant gap with 50.10% of the vote against 28.27% in front of the left union, represented by Thierry Aury and Dominique Clinckemaillie .
The abstention provokes a new right-left duel in the old way in the second round.
The LR pair is the favorite.
To wrest victory, the left will absolutely have to mobilize the popular electorate of the sensitive neighborhoods of Beauvais.
Canton n ° 2: Beauvais 2.
The outgoing president of the department Nadège Lefebvre (LR) and her partner Franck Pia (UDI) could have been elected in the 1st round with 56.51% of the votes.
Because of an excessive abstention, they will face this Sunday the pair RN Véronique Boulanger and Julien Holderbaum who obtained 25.35% of the vote.
There is little doubt about the re-election of those leaving.
Canton n ° 3: Chantilly.
Another canton where abstention forces voters to go to the polling stations this Sunday.
The right-wing duo Isabelle Wojtowiez and Patrice Marchand could have been elected with 51.51% of the votes in the 1st round.
He is clearly ahead of RN Philippe Maurice Leroy and Martine Million (19.25%), their opponents in the second round.
There is little doubt about the outcome of this straight-RN duel either.
Canton n ° 4: Chaumont-en-Vexin.
Same case as in the first three cantons with the LR binomial of Benoît Biberon and Sophie Levesque who should have been elected in the 1st round with 52.89% of the votes.
The abstention caused a second round against the RN duo of Sébastien Turin and Florence Italiani who despite their score of 30.65% in the first round will have a hard time winning.
Canton n ° 5: Clermont.
The left had targeted this canton and announced to have the support of almost all the mayors of Clermontois.
On arrival, despite the replacement of Édouard Courtial by Maxime Minot, the right, with the deputy associated with Ophélie Van Elsuwe finished in the lead with 50.85% of the vote.
Denis Dupuis and Mirjana Jakovljevic (27.12%) will have a hard time turning the tide.
Canton n ° 6: Compiègne 1.
Duel right - left in the old style with on one side the duo of the outgoing majority, represented by Danielle Carlier and Éric De Valroger (46.30% of the votes) and the united left of Michel Jeannerot and Paule Sesbouë (20.41%).
What will the voters of the RN and the dissenting right do?
Once again, the right wing is a favorite in this canton.
Canton n ° 7: Compiègne 2.
As in the canton of Compiègne 1, a right-left duel animates the second round.
Jean Desessart (LR) and Sandrine De Figueiredo (UDI) start with a good head start (47.25% in the 1st round) over the left-wing candidates (29%), Bertrand Brassens, former PS general counselor, and Valérie Batillard (EELV), Unless surprised, the township should stay to the right.
Canton n ° 8: Creil.
The abstention rate of nearly 80% in the city of Creil changed the situation in the first round. Admittedly, the left, with Adnane Akabli and Dominique Lavanette, came in first with 36.24% but it finds itself opposed to the pair LR Sylvie Duchatelle and Philippe Kellner. The departmental majority relied on a presence in the second round to create the surprise. Will she be in a position to achieve it?
Canton n ° 9: Crépy-en-Valois.
It was one of the two cantons held by the RN but last Sunday it was the duo of the right-wing majority (Luc Chapoton, and Véronique Cavaletti) who beat the RN duo with 29.34% against 28.34% for Alain Aubigny and Françoise Baron. If we take into account the cumulative scores of the dissenting right-wing lists, nearly 15%, and the call from the left to block the RN, the right leaves with a certain advantage to retake this canton.
Canton n ° 10: Estrées-Saint-Denis.
No real surprise to be expected in the canton of Estrées-Saint-Denis where the outgoing LR departmental advisers, Patrice Fontaine and Anaïs Dhamy won 52.93% of the vote in the 1st round.
It's hard to imagine the frontist duo Julien Geoffroy and Vanessa Balcerski shaking up the forecasts in the second round.
Canton n ° 11: Grandvilliers.
The RN had high hopes for this canton where it traditionally garners its best scores election after election.
This departmental marks a clear decline for the frontist party since Jean-Jacques Adoux, and Florence Couppey, with 31.14% narrowly ahead of the left and comes far behind Pascal Verbeke and Martine Borgoo and their 48.43% of the vote.
Passing in front of the right promises to be very difficult.
Canton n ° 12: Méru.
As announced, the left lost this canton. Despite an outgoing departmental councilor, LREM sank and finished 4th. This election therefore boils down to a duel LR (36.29% of the vote) against RN (32.20%). The duo Marie-Christine Baudin-Chenu - Alexandre Sabatou was convinced to turn in the lead, he ended up nearly 300 votes behind. The call from the left to block the RN, added to the postponement of LREM votes, should allow the duo Frédérique Leblanc and Bruno Caleiro to conquer this canton to bring it back to the right.
Canton n ° 13: Montataire.
In recent years, the PC has seen part of its electorate leave for the FN. A trend confirmed in the canton of Montataire, traditionally acquired by the PC, which offers itself a duel against the RN. The outgoing duo led by Jean-Pierre Bosino is certainly ahead, with 31.70% of the vote, but the RN of Gregory Fiquet and Émeline Gary is just behind with 29.44% of the vote. The second round promises to be tight. If the outgoing duo should recover the LFI vote and some of the LREM voters, not certain that the “republican front” extends to 21% of LR voters in the 1st round and does not play the game, in the end, of the RN.
Canton n ° 14: Mouy.
The canton of Mouy was the sensation in 2015. It will not be in 2021 when the outgoing right-wing duo, Olivier Paccaud and Anne Fumery won 56.05% of the vote, far ahead of the RN duo of
Stéphane Mansion and Caroline Picard (26.33%).
The delay is such that it seems impossible to fill.
Canton n ° 15: Nanteuil-le-Haudouin.
The departmental majority had some fears about this canton.
Finally, the duo of Nicole Colin and Gilles Sellier came out on top (44.75% of the vote) with a reasonable lead over the RN represented by Yoann Czykalo and Danielle Ben Bouaziz (29.49% of the vote).
Favorable waiver for the right.
Canton n ° 16: Nogent-sur-Oise.
Right - left duel for a canton marked on the left but where the departmental majority, Gillian Roux - Christophe Dietrich finished in the lead, with 38.38%. The left Lauriane Leriche- Gérard Weyn arrives ten points behind with 27.58% of the vote. It will have to unite well beyond its dissident candidates to hope to retake its old bastion.
Canton n ° 17: Noyon.
Will the RN keep its canton?
Even if the outgoing Michel Guiniot and Nathalie Jorand came out on top with 31.13% of the vote, they are just ahead of the Divers Gauche list of Thibault Delavenne and Corinne Achin (28.23%).
When we know that the other left-wing list collected nearly 20% of the votes, the RN appears in great danger, its potential reserve of votes for the 1st round being limited to 3% of Debout la France.
Canton n ° 18: Pont-Sainte-Maxence.
Another canton acquired on the right.
The duo (LR) Teresa Dias and Arnaud Dumontier, with its 56.62% collected in the 1st round, start largely favorite in front of the duo RN Reynald Rossignol and Anita Roy (23.37% of the votes)
Canton n ° 19: Saint-Just-en-Chaussée.
The pair composed of Nicole Cordier (DVD) and Frans Desmedt (LR) established the best score of the departmental majority with 62.66% of the votes in the 1st round.
Frontists Brunella Cordova Arbulu and David Van Laecke are very far behind with 23.04% of the vote.
Canton n ° 20: Senlis.
The duo of the departmental right, Jérôme Basher and Corry Neau, outgoing departmental advisers, came largely in the lead with 53.95% of the vote.
No RN opposite, but the left pair, with Martine Bernard and Lucien Gerardin (23.08%).
The second round promises to be quiet for the right.
Canton n ° 21: Thourotte.
It is the only canton where the left is quiet. The outgoing pair Hélène Balitout-Sébastien Nancel won 49.56% of the vote, more than 20 points ahead of the RN duo Mylène Troszczynski and Pierre Bassoch (RN) who obtained only 25.29%. What to be serene before the second round.
