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RKI: End for the incidence? New headline indicator could facilitate action

2021-07-12T10:01:32.128Z


The 7-day incidence in Germany should no longer determine the corona rules alone. The Robert Koch Institute proposes a headline indicator.


The 7-day incidence in Germany should no longer determine the corona rules alone.

The Robert Koch Institute proposes a headline indicator.

As of July 12, the 7-day incidence in Germany is 6.4 according to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), which is still below the ten mark. And: not a single region in Germany reports an incidence value of over 50. But the word incidence could soon lose its meaning. The reason: According to an internal document of the RKI, according to

echo24.de

*, the incidence should no longer decide solely on the corona measures in Germany.

Instead, a new headline indicator is to be introduced that is no longer based on proven infections.

The

picture

is the internal RKI document, which speaks of “hospitalization as an additional leading indicator”.

Means: Instead of the proven corona infections, the focus should now be on the number of corona patients treated in the hospital.

The big problem with the incidence value is that the value becomes less meaningful because of the corona vaccinations.

RKI experts with awesome conclusion: Corona measures are "difficult to justify"

The reason: The corona vaccinations protect against infections and severe courses of the disease.

The RKI assumes that the number of serious corona cases in Germany will therefore decrease.

In addition, the people in the risk groups are now almost all vaccinated.

In other words: Even if the 7-day incidence in Germany should rise again, this will be less dramatic for the health system due to the increased vaccination rate in Germany.

The 7-day incidence in brief

The incidence value shows the cases per 100,000 inhabitants within the last seven days.

In other words: The 7-day incidence is based on detected new coronavirus infections and is an average value determined by health authorities.

The incidence value is used to attempt to depict the infection process.

The conclusion of the RKI experts according to the

picture

is: extensive non-pharmacological interventions for EVERYONE are difficult to justify from a technical point of view, except when there is a threat of systematic overload.

The RKI makes it clear that corona measures such as lockdown and co. Can no longer be justified for all fully vaccinated people in Germany.

Politicians reacted to the conclusion with approval.

The move away from incidence could be "the long-awaited turning point for all of us," said Friedrich Merz (CDU) in an interview with

Bild

.

New headline indicator instead of incidence value: That is the background to the idea

However, the demand for a rethink in the corona pandemic also comes from experts. Just recently,

echo24.de

* reported on the hammer demand from the head of

statutory health insurance

physicians in Germany - Andreas Gassen. He demands that the currently still applicable Corona restrictions and measures be removed for all vaccinated people in Germany. If there are many positive findings in a new corona wave, but no more sick people, one can see the situation "very calmly," explains Gassen der

Bild

and thus indirectly advocates turning away from incidence.

According to Gassen, Germany “has to come to terms with higher numbers of infections”.

The delta variant of the corona virus in particular worries many experts.

It is currently assumed that the more contagious mutant of the coronavirus will dominate in Germany in the foreseeable future.

Not least because of this, a third corona vaccination is already being discussed in medicine, which should once again significantly strengthen the protective effect.

*

echo24.de

is an offer from IPPEN.MEDIA.

List of rubric lists: © Kay Nietfeld / dpa

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-07-12

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