Fourth corona wave in Bavaria? Two regions without new cases - but the ministry gives a bitter forecast

Even if the corona numbers are currently comparatively low: The incidences in Bavaria are rising again.

Will the fourth wave threaten the Free State in autumn?

Munich - It is a current trend in the pandemic that Bavaria is not spared: Even if the number of cases is currently low - the Corona * numbers are rising again.

Only in two regions in the Free State there were no new infections within the last seven days.

Corona in Bavaria: Incidences are rising again - two regions without new infections

For the city of Straubing and the district of Neumarkt in the Upper Palatinate, the RKI reported no new infections on Saturday, July 24th.

The seven-day incidence * is highest in the Free State of 37.8 in the Berchtesgadener Land district.

Then come the city of Bamberg (33.6), followed by the district of Dillingen an der Donau (30).

In total, the health authorities in Bavaria reported 220 new corona infections and two deaths related to the virus within one day.

The incidence throughout Bavaria is now 12.2.

For comparison: the current national average is 13.6.

Due to the current developments, the Free State is also threatened with the fourth corona wave in autumn.

The Ministry of Health in Munich expects that the holiday season can lead to an increased risk of infection.

"Therefore, a further increase must be expected in the near future," said a spokesman in Munich to the

.

Corona in Bavaria: fourth wave threatens in autumn - vaccinations are great hope

In model scenarios, the Robert Koch Institute in Berlin also anticipates another sharp rise in the number of cases across Germany from the end of October. But the numbers are still low. Because of this, "local outbreaks can cause the value of the reproductive number to fluctuate relatively strongly," according to a spokesman for the Ministry of Health in Munich. "How the events will develop cannot be predicted and will continue to be observed."

The delta variant plays a major role in the spread of the virus. It is believed to be more contagious than other corona variants. According to the RKI from July 14, the proportion of the delta variant in all new infections in Germany was just under three quarters.

The great hope: Thanks to vaccinations * and an increasing number of convalescents, immunization is progressing.

For this reason, the state government also expects fewer sick and dead people.

However, this is not the all-clear.

"However, if the number of infections rises sharply, the risk of an increased number of serious illnesses and hospitalizations increases again," says the ministry spokesman.

"This has to be avoided."

By the way: The most important stories from the Free State are now also available in our brand new, regular Bayern newsletter.