Eduardo Paladini
07/29/2021 10:05
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 07/29/2021 10:05
A couple of public statements, between the end of last year and the beginning of this year, were enough for speculation about
Máximo Kirchner President 2023
to reappear
. At that time, a consulting firm decided to measure its image throughout the country. District by district. And now he repeated. With a dark red balance for the
leader of
La Cámpora
: his valuation
fell in 23 of the 24 provinces
; and in the rest it did not rise, it remained. Complex to think about a national projection as Cristina's heir. Is
Axel Kicillof
celebrating
?
The studies that allow this comparison are from
CB Consultora Opinion Pública
, a firm with origins in Córdoba that makes measurements throughout the country.
Among other surveys, it publishes an interesting ranking of governors and also passes through the filter to the main figures of national politics.
This Wednesday,
Clarín
advanced part of the July poll, which faced two opponents who think about La Rosada:
the macrista Horacio Rodríguez Larreta vs.
the radical Facundo Manes
.
With this logic, the numbers of the current head of the block of the Frente de Todos en Diputados were also disseminated.
From that regular to this postponement
The
first national
and profound
measurement
on the figure of the former president's son, in January 2021, had already left an alert.
Strong.
Only five provinces
girls
getting
differential image in favor
(more positive than negative): Land of Fire, Santa Cruz, Formosa, Santiago of Estero and Chaco.
With the
big Buenos Aires
something particular happened: even when the balance ended against it,
the numbers were not so bad
: + 38.4%, - 54.2% and 7.4% "ns / nc".
Also, as a bonus, Máximo showed a
high level of knowledge
throughout the country.
Roughly, the latter is the only thing he kept to his credit.
In almost all provinces,
more than 80% of those surveyed answered about their image
.
The problem was how they did it.
In only three districts the deputy exceeded 30 positive points: the emblematic Santa Cruz (33%), the aforementioned Buenos Aires (30.1%) and Formosa (30.1%). But he combined them with a high negative: - 52.3%, - 60.4% and - 45%, respectively.
Especially worrying about the
Buenos Aires territory
, which today gives him political anchor, even as head of the provincial PJ.
There, since January,
its valuation in favor fell 8.3 points and the one against it grew 6.2
.
According to
Cristian Buttié
, in charge of the pollster,
"the collapse in Máximo's image began between February and March
.
"
And it continued the following months, in line with what happened with the majority of politicians, in the context of a double crisis, health and economic.
The strongest loss for Máximo, in points and proportionally, occurred in Tierra del Fuego
.
There its positive image went from 52.3% to 24.8%.
It was where he measured best and, as said, one of the few where he had a differential in favor.
In political and electoral terms, it is more symbolic than gravitating: barely 0.4% of the total electoral roll vote there.
More worrisome, of course, are the
falls in large districts, where it does not reach 20% positive
: in order of electoral weight, Córdoba (+ 12%), Santa Fe (+ 18.9%), CABA (+ 18, 1%), Mendoza (+ 15%), Tucumán (+ 17.5%) and Enre Ríos (+ 17.6%).
In its own way, it
repeats the parameters of the main K leaders
, with a strong rejection in the urban centers.
Although in his case, from lower levels still.
And what was the exception to the rule? Río Negro
, where Máximo kept his numbers exactly.
Nothing to celebrate too much.
It continues to add a scarce 22.6% in favor.
