news
Army and Security
A war in Lebanon does not serve the Israeli interest, but what happened at the border must not be accepted
The rocket fire to Mount Dov may not have hurt anyone, but it surprised the defense establishment and its severity is in Hezbollah's message to Israel.
Now, the IDF is faced with weighty dilemmas, as well as an intellectual mental calculation: Could it be that the assessments of Hezbollah's response were too smug?
Tags
Hezbollah
Lebanon
Tal Lev-Ram
Friday, 06 August 2021, 16:35
Share on Facebook
Share on WhatsApp
Share on general
Share on general
Share on Twitter
Share on Email
0 comments
The recent events on the northern border, against the background of Lebanon's disintegration process, pose heavy dilemmas for Israel: on the one hand, the IDF and the political echelon do not want to be dragged into the Lebanese cauldron, but Israel has the privilege of becoming the northern border. To the line of terrorism and security instability.
As sometimes happens in complex situations of this kind, when decision-making is complex, this time too the defense establishment volunteers itself to explain the side actions of the enemy. "Intentionally to open areas and not to civilians. He also does not want a war, and he is looking to close the event."
A strong sovereign state like Israel cannot afford to declare publicly, and especially not by an IDF spokesman, that a terrorist organization like Hezbollah that fired a few rockets at Israeli territory just hours ago is actually deterred - and that proof is that it chose to fire at Israel is anchored in accepting the equation of Hezbollah, which responded to IDF air and artillery attacks after firing rockets three days ago at Kiryat Shmona - although the IDF was very careful not to break the organization's honor and convey messages. It is clear that he is not part of the story and is not on the IDF's intentions.
More on Walla!
For the second time this week: a barrage from Lebanon towards Israel;
Hezbollah claimed responsibility for the shooting
To the full article
Smoke rises from the area of the village of Ibal al-Saki in southern Lebanon, August 6, 2021 (Photo: Reuters, Karamallah Daher)
The cannons fired, and the Air Force attacked on Wednesday night for the first time in eight years in Lebanon - but even these attacks were mainly intended to convey a message and not to harm people on the other side.
The IDF defined one of the targets for the attack as an infrastructure of terrorism, but an asphalt road is ultimately just a road - even if the vehicle from which the rockets were fired traveled on it. This attack was also merely a message.
If so, the IDF's message was thunderous. True, but in fact it was a restrained and moderate response that was not directed against Hezbollah and was gentle on Lebanon as well.
The IDF made every effort to convey to Hezbollah the message that the open account is with the Palestinian terrorist organizations only. But Hezbollah turns out to have its own interpretation.
A very serious message
The IDF's intelligence assessment even after the attack on Lebanese fighter jets was that Hezbollah would not respond. Will intervene.
An intelligence alert did not come up and also in real time from the launch vehicle, which has a much higher signature than a sniper in the bushes - but was not detected.
Residents of a Druze village in Lebanon are trying to stop Hezbollah operatives from firing on Israel through the village
In the video: Residents in southern Lebanon try to prevent the firing of ...
For the second time this week: firing from Lebanon into Israeli territory
After eight months - he discovered the truth about his girlfriend ...
Five facts about swimwear
Facts about cats
The card trick
Disability protest resumes: "The government harms weak people because ...
The charge against a Border Police officer who shot his friend to death was aggravated for murder ...
Elderly people get vaccinated in the third dose: "All ...
A wave of fires in Greece: Thousands evacuated from their homes in the capital Athens ...
Detention of policewoman extended on suspicion of helping criminals buy tools ...
Raisi was sworn in as the new president of Iran: "Supports any solution ...
In the video: Residents of a Druze village in Lebanon try to stop Hezbollah operatives from firing on Israel (Walla system!)
If so, very quickly this intelligence assessment turned out to be a mistake and misreading of the other side.
Israel says today that already yesterday they identified an argument within Hezbollah over whether to respond - but the bottom line in Israel was surprised by the response.
This is despite the deployment of the Iron Dome batteries, which once again proved its effectiveness.
The IDF will have to examine in depth the way of intelligence analysis, and examine whether there has not been excessive arrogance in estimates that Hezbollah will not respond to IDF attacks.
The reality in the North is complex and requires informed decision-making.
A war in Lebanon does not in any way serve Israel's interests, but we must not accept what is happening on the northern border - a reality that is increasingly reminiscent of what is happening on the border in the Gaza Strip, only that in Lebanon the enemy is much stronger.
Vehicle with rocket launcher in Hawaii, Lebanon, August 6, 2021 (Photo: Reuters, Karamallah Daher)
It would be a grave mistake on the part of Israel to downplay the severity of Hezbollah's firing on Mount Dov.
The fact that the organization fired an election at an area where there are only military targets should not lead the IDF to declare that Hezbollah fired into open territory only to prove to the Israeli public that Hezbollah is deterred. Equation and convey a very serious message that Israel is seemingly very limited in its ability to respond to terrorism and rocket fire from Lebanon.
True, rocket fire today may not have hurt anyone - but strategically, it is a very serious development for Israel, with all parties clear In the doorway.
Share on Facebook
Share on WhatsApp
Share on general
Share on general
Share on Twitter
Share on Email
0 comments
