Eduardo Paladini
08/08/2021 16:10
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 08/08/2021 16:19
Because it is the
second electoral district in
the country, because of that profile that made it the
anti-K capital
of Argentina, because of a
very tough intern in Juntos por el Cambio
and because it is one of the eight provinces that
renews
national
senators
,
Córdoba
accounts for a large part of the attention of the STEP of September 12. And how does the dispute come there?
Clarín
agreed this weekend to
two new polls
, which do not allow a decisive conclusion, but do confirm the
supremacy of the main opposition alliance
at a general level, with a complicated scenario for the Frente de Todos.
The works are from the consulting
firms CB
, and
Opinions and Trends
.
The first study, according to what the firm told this newspaper, was "
commissioned privately
by a businessman from the City of Buenos Aires."
The
second is linked to Changing Together
, the list headed by Luis Juez and Rodrigo de Loredo for the PASO de JxC.
"One of the analysts of the pollster is an advisor to De Loredo," a provincial source assured
Clarín
.
With 8.7% of the electoral roll in the entire country (about 3 million voters), Córdoba will renew its three senatorial seats and nine deputies this year. Together for Change is the one that puts the most at stake: he renews two positions for the upper house and five for the lower house.
The third senator is from the
Frente de Todos
:
Carlos Caserio
joined Governor Juan Schiaretti in 2015 but went to the ruling party with the arrival of Alberto Fernández to power;
now he will seek his re-election from that space.
The Government also risks a bench of deputies, while the remaining three belong to
We do for Córdoba
, the Peronist force not K of Schiaretti.
The data CB Consultant Public Opinion
It is the firm that has been publishing the ranking of governors for more than a year and it originates precisely in Córdoba.
Between July 25 and 28, it surveyed
998 cases
, with a +/- 3.1% margin of error.
In the first table, on
"Social Climate"
, the province's anti-K bias is clear.
Or at least how badly they are evaluating the current situation: for
73.1%
, the
country is going in the wrong direction.
On the other hand, only 33.9% think the same of the province, which reveals how a wide sector of Cordoba society supports the governor but not the national government.
This is confirmed immediately, when the personal images and the efforts of Schiaretti and Fernández are precisely evaluated.
While the provincial president combines 63.5% positive for his administration and 55.5% for his figure, the President adds + 24.5% and + 20%
respectively.
Then comes the heading of images and electoral potential for the main candidates.
And taking as a parameter those who head for senators, they are ordered as follows:
Survey in Córdoba from the consulting firm CB.
Image and electoral potential of Luis Juez (JxC).
-
Luis Juez
(who shares a list with the radical De Loredo in the JxC intern): + 32.2% and - 30.5% of image, with 16.2% of floor and 44.7% of electoral ceiling.
Survey in Córdoba from the consulting firm CB.
Image and electoral potential of Mario Negri (JxC).
-
Mario Negri
(who shares a list with the macrista Gustavo Santos in the internal JxC): + 31.8% and - 28.5% of image, with 14.6% of floor and 40.4% of electoral ceiling.
Survey in Córdoba from the consulting firm CB.
Image and electoral potential of Alejandra Vigo (HxC).
-
Alejandra Vigo
(wife of Schiaretti and head of Make for Córdoba): + 20.5% and - 21.3% of image, with 11.4% of floor and 36.6% of electoral ceiling.
Survey in Córdoba from the consulting firm CB.
Image and electoral potential of Carlos Caserio (FdT).
-
Carlos Caserio
(head of the Frente de Todos): + 10.7% and - 28.2% of image, with 6.7% of floor and 17.4% of electoral ceiling.
Survey of the CB consulting firm in Córdoba.
Voting intention for the STEP.
And at the end, ask directly for the vote for candidates / spaces.
With 18.6% undecided, 6.1% white and 3.7% would not vote,
in the first places they are ordered as follows
:
- Judge / De Loredo (Together for Change): 19.9%.
- Negri / Santos (Together for Change): 16.6%.
- Vigo / De la Sota (We do for Córdoba): 14.1%.
- Caserio / Gill (Front of All): 8.7%.
When Judge and Negri are joined by two other marginal lists that will also compete in that STEP, Juntos por el Cambio totals 38.8%, against 14.1% for HxC and 8.7% for FdT, which have no interns. With projection of undecided, JxC rises to 47.3% (with Judge at 24.3% and Negri at 20.2%), HxC at 17.1% and the FdT at 10.6%.
Opinions and Trends data
The study linked to the duo of Cambiando Juntos (Juez and De Loredo) included a survey of
810 cases
, from July 29 to August 4, and with a +/- 5.4% margin of error.
In this case,
images and voting intention
were combined
by candidates / spaces.
And
the trend was repeated
: Together for the Change clearly above (with a slightly better Judge than Negri), We do for Córdoba second and the Frente de Todos third.
The main data of the category images:
Opinions and Trends Survey in Córdoba.
Image by Luis Juez (JxC).
- Judge: 48.2% positive and 42.2% negative.
Opinions and Trends Survey in Córdoba.
Image by Mario Negri (JxC).
- Negri: + 45.9% and - 39.8%.
Opinions and Trends Survey in Córdoba.
Image by Alejandra Vigo (HxC).
- Vigo: + 32.4% and - 20%.
Province Survey of Opinions and Trends in Córdoba.
Voting intention for the STEP.
Regarding the intention to vote, with 9.7% undecided, the most striking thing is that although in the sum Together for Change clearly prevails (44.7% among the four lists), Vigo and De la Sota are first, as the only representatives of We do for Córdoba, with 24.1%. Below are:
- Judge / De Loredo: 23.1%.
- Negri / Santos: 20.2%.
- Caserio / Gill: 14.3%.