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Four polls were advanced and measured for the presidential one: in one Axel Kicillof won

2021-08-10T14:39:14.961Z


They are Management & Fit, Real Time Data and Giacobbe studies. The key data.


Eduardo Paladini

08/10/2021 11:25 AM

  • Clarín.com

  • Politics

Updated 08/10/2021 11:25 AM

With more than a month to go until PASO 2021, three consultants decided to look further (well beyond) and asked public opinion about the upcoming presidential elections.

They are studies by the consulting

firms Management & Fit (M&F), Real Time Data (RTD) and Giacobbe & Asociados

.

Two nationals, one from Buenos Aires and one from Buenos Aires.

They measured in two ways.

A more general one

:

Will people want a candidate from the Front of All, one from Together for Change and a third, out of the crack?

And

another more specific

: who would you like to be the next President?

In both cases, the

results are still very open

.

But interesting to analyze.

Or entertain yourself with statistics.

In one of the studies, for example, there is surprise and Governor

Axel Kicillof

appears first 

.


The Management & Fit survey

The consulting firm that

Mariel Fornoni

directs

and has as clients, among others, the governments of the City, Córdoba and Santa Fe, published its latest national study days ago, with cuts in CABA and the province of Buenos Aires.

Clarín exclusively advanced the main data this weekend

, which revealed an advantage of the Frente de Todos in Buenos Aires territory, with Diego Santilli at the top of Facundo Manes in the internship of Together for Change in the district.

The expanded report of that same work, with

2,200 cases

surveyed throughout the country between July 26 and August 2, included the following question: "And if tomorrow there were elections again to elect a president, would you feel more inclined to vote for a candidate favorable to the Alberto Fernández government or for an opposition candidate? ".

v1.7 0421

Presidential poll 2023

Based on a national survey of 2,200 cases.

In %

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Management & Fit

Infographic:

Clarín

35.8% responded that "they would vote for a candidate favorable to the government of Alberto Fernández", against 52.6% who would vote for an "opposition candidate".

They completed 11.6% of "don't know / don't answer".

There were almost no changes compared to the previous month (35.8% / 51.5% / 12.7%) and although the non-official members prevail,

the panorama is very open

, since the opposition offer is usually divided and the almost 36 points of the Frente de Todos are an interesting base, in a context of deep crisis.

When the data are shelled, the

ruling party

 achieves its best numbers among those

over 40

and those with

a low economic level

;

while the

opposition

 grows between those of

average and high economic level


The Giacobbe survey

It is the consultancy led by

Jorge Giacobbe

(son).

He is one of the analysts best known for his strong presence in the media, including as a panelist.

His works circulate -among others- in sectors of the macrismo, such as those linked to Patricia Bullrich, head of the PRO.

Between July 27 and 29, he surveyed

2,500 cases

in the province of Buenos Aires;

and another of 1,500, in CABA.

In both, he stated: "

Presidency 2023 / Which of these phrases is closest to your opinion?

"

v1.7 0421

Presidential poll 2023

Based on a Buenos Aires survey of 2,500 cases.

In %

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Giacobbe & Asociados

Infographic:

Clarín

In Province, there was parity in three of the five options offered, with the FdT above:

1) "I would like the Frente de Todos to continue governing for 4 more years": 31.7%.

2) "I would like him to govern Together for Change again in 2023": 29.3%.

3) "I would like another political party to govern outside the Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio": 26.4%.


4) "I still don't know who I would like to govern from 2023": 12.2%.

5) "Ns / nc": 0.3%.

v1.7 0421

Presidential poll 2023 - CABA

Based on a Buenos Aires survey of 1,500 cases.

In %

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Giacobbe & Asociados

Infographic:

Clarín

In CABA, Together for Change prevailed more clearly:

1) "I would like him to govern Together for Change again in 2023": 36.6%.

2) "I would like another political party to govern outside the Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio": 25.9%.

3) "I would like the Frente de Todos to continue governing for 4 more years": 22.1%.

4) "I still don't know who I would like to govern from 2023": 15.5%.


The Real Time Data survey


It is a consulting firm created in 2019, by a former Poliarquía (

Nicolás Solari

), who does daily update studies with clients in the country and abroad.

In July, it presented a national survey of

1,070 cases

.

As he has been asking every month, he asked those surveyed to respond "spontaneously": 

"Who would you like to be the next president of Argentina?"

.

The dispersion was total, with 10 nominated candidates, and

a winner, Kicillof, who barely reached 13%

.

They followed him: stuck with

12%

,

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta

;

and one notch below, with

10%

,

Alberto Fernández

.

v1.7 0421

Presidential poll 2023

Based on a national survey of 1,070 cases.

In %

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Real Time Data (RTD)

Infographic:

Clarín

They completed:

- Mauricio Macri and Cristina Kirchner, both with 7%.

- Patricia Bullrich, with 6%.

- Sergio Massa and María Eugenia Vidal, with 3%.

- Facundo Manes and José Luis Espert, with 2%.

In the midst of this volatility, the highest percentage was taken by

"others" (18%) and the undecided (17%)

.

When the consulting firm showed the detail by political affinity,

among the voters of Juntos por el Cambio Larreta added 22%

, against 18% for Macri and 16% for Bullrich.

And

among those of the Frente de Todos, Kicillof scored with 28%

, against 21% for Fernández and 14% for Cristina.

Regarding evolution, those that

grew the most

since January were

Bullrich and Kicillof

;

and those who

fell the most

,

Fernández and Vidal

.

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2021-08-10

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