Eduardo Paladini
08/11/2021 10:27
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 08/11/2021 10:27
Santa Fe
is the third electoral district in the country, with more voters even than the City of Buenos Aires.
But for PASO 2021 it adds extra attention (and tension) because it
renews its
national
senators
and does so in the middle of
three very hot primaries and with famous candidates
.
The scenario of the inmates is anticipated evenly, for the moment, according to the data of a
new survey
that
Clarín
accessed this Wednesday, the third that transcends in a week.
It is a study by
Grupo MAS Consultores
, a local firm that measures, among others, for the Rosario Stock Exchange and private clients, and brought its work closer to
Juntos por el Cambio
.
Clarín
accessed this poll through the team of
Federico Angelini and Amalia Granata
, who make up one of the four ballots of the opposition alliance.
There were
2,152 cases
surveyed between August 2 and 7, with a +/- 3.5% margin of error.
Amalia Granata and Federico Angelini, candidates for national senators for Santa Fe within Together for Change.
With some
2.8 million eligible voters
, 8.18% of the total in 2019, Santa Fe only has fewer voters than the provinces of Buenos Aires and Córdoba.
It puts into play three key seats in the Senate:
two from the Frente de Todos and one allied to Juntos por el Cambio
(the one that the late Carlos Reutemann had won in 2015).
In addition, it renews nine seats of Deputies:
five from Together for Change, three from the Front of All and one from the Progressive Front
.
Interns with celebrities
Granata
, a model and panelist on some TV shows, is one of the famous applicants.
In any case,
she is not a rookie in politics
: a fervent anti-abortion activist, in 2019 she already got a seat in the provincial Legislature.
The other candidate with a long history in the media is the journalist
Carolina Losada
, who also competes in the yellow PASO, leading one of the ballots for the upper house.
There are two other options, led by the radical
José Corral
(former mayor of Santa Fe capital), and the deputy and former provincial security minister
Maximiliano Pullaro
.
According to data from
the MAS Group
, Angelini-Granata lead that internship with 10.9 points, closely followed by Corral (7.9%), Losada (7.1%) and Pullaro (6.1%).
Together for Change Total: 32 points.
v1.7 0421
Voting intention in Santa Fe by internal
Based on a provincial survey of 2,152 cases.
In %
Tap to explore the data
Source:
MAS Consultores Group
Infographics:
Clarín
On the side of the
Frente de Todos there
is the most open and fierce fight, with Governor
Omar Perotti
on one side and former Defense Minister
Agustín Rossi on
the other.
Perotti, as a substitute candidate and with the support of Cristina Kirchner and Alberto Fernández;
Rossi, with Vice Governor Alejandra Rodenas as a partner on the list and ally.
For the
MAS Group
, Rossi's ballot is the most elected at a general level, but it prevails narrowly in the official internal: 11.2% against 10.1% of the one headed by Marcelo Lewandosky and has the governor below.
Total Front of All: 21.3%.
Carolina Losada, journalist and candidate for national senator for one of the lists of Together for Change in Santa Fe.
The third hot intern is that of
the Progressive Front
, which offers two socialist options: one headed by former senator
Rubén Giustiniani
and another by
Clara García
, the wife of the late former governor Miguel Lifschitz.
According to the
MAS Group
survey
, Garcia is 9.1% to 7.5% up.
Total of the Progressive Front: 16.6%.
30.1% undecided complete the survey.
General data and the other two surveys
Before entering the data on the inmates, the
MAS Group
survey
makes a general statement about the election in Santa Fe:
"In the next elections for national senators and deputies, you plan to vote ..."
.
With this result:
- A candidate from Together for Change, 25.3%.
- A candidate from Kirchnerismo / Frente de Todos, 21.6%.
- A candidate from Socialism / Progressive Front, 15.7%.
- A candidate from the Left, 3.1%.
- Ns / Nc, 34.2%.
v1.7 0421
Voting intention in Santa Fe
Based on a provincial survey of 2,152 cases.
In %
Tap to explore the data
Source:
MAS Consultores Group
Infographics:
Clarín
Prior to this survey,
Clarín
published
two
other
studies from Santa Fe
days ago
, by consultants Federico González and Raúl Aragón
.
In this case, the polls were approached by the Agustín Rossi space, although the pollsters assured that the works had been commissioned by "local businessmen."
González's poll gives a total of 34.9 points to the four JxC lists, 32.8 to the two of the FdT and 19.6 to the two of the Progressive Front. The one from Aragon, meanwhile, gives them 34%, 31,% and 20.9% respectively.
Governor Omar Perotti and former Minister Agustín Rossi, in an act weeks ago.
Now they face each other at the Santa Fe boarding school.
When the internal ones are crumbled, there are also coincidences.
In the Frente de Todos,
both show an advantage of the Rossi and Rodenas list
over the one that responds to Perotti: González awards 19.7% to Rossi-Rodenas compared to 13.1% for Lewandoski-Mirabella.
Aragon places them with 17.8% and 13.7% respectively.
Regarding the internal Juntos por el Cambio, the two polls present a very even internal scenario, with
Losada-Barletta first
(9.8% for Aragón and 10.1% for González), Angelini-Granata second (8.4 % and 8.9%), Corral-López Molina third (8.1% and 8.5%) and Pullaro-Chumpitaz fourth (7.7% and 7.4%).
Finally, in the dispute of the Progressive Front, for Aragón
García de Lifschitz-Fein they
add up to 11.8% against 9.1% for Giustiniani-Oliver; and for González, the same list also prevails, but 11.3% to 8.3%.