The Union is now also in election campaign mode, Laschet stated on Saturday.
But just in time for this, a survey comes out, in which competitor Scholz can once again shine.
Berlin - Olaf Scholz likes to appear confident and confident of victory.
A current survey strengthens him enormously in this regard.
According to the “Sunday trend” of the
Bild newspaper
, the SPD is overtaking the Greens.
This puts the Social Democrats in second place in this survey, which is carried out by the opinion research institute Insa. Their 20 percent is the best value in this survey since December 2017.
Poll on the federal election: Union remains the strongest force, but loses something
The Union will continue to be the strongest force - but it will lose one percentage point and currently reach 25 percent.
The Greens around their chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock are now in third place in this ranking.
They still get 18 percent of the votes and thus maintain their value from the previous week.
The FDP - which would play a role in many three-party coalitions - remains at twelve percent.
The AfD also holds its eleven percent.
The left again achieved seven percent of the vote.
Should these values actually be reached on September 26th, Olaf Scholz could lead a so-called traffic light coalition.
There would then be the SPD, Greens and FDP.
But be careful: a lot can still happen before the general election and the roller coaster of the polls so far shows that this is not unlikely.
According to this survey, no parliamentary majority has a two-party coalition, for example black-green or black-red.
For a left alliance, i.e. the SPD, the Greens and the Left, things are also looking bad at the moment.
Despite a good Scholz result, Laschet still has the better cards
But Olaf Scholz is not quite there yet, even if he is already talking about SPD leader Saskia Esken and her potential as a minister.
Incidentally, at an election event on Saturday, Laschet accused Scholz of conducting a “sleeping car election campaign”.
So far, CSU boss Markus Söder had used this expression - also for teasing the in-house union election campaign.
In any case, after an election, the strongest force traditionally first has the task of conducting exploratory talks.
And for Union chancellor candidate Laschet, the polls do not look bright at the moment.
But with the other possible coalition options, ie “Jamaica” (Union, Greens, FDP), “Germany” (Union, SPD, FDP) and “Kenya” (Union, SPD, Greens) he would currently move into the Chancellery and Angela Merkel follow with it.
Chancellor question: Scholz, Laschet, Baerbock - order remains
But that doesn't mean that many voters really want him to sit there.
According to
Bild
this week,
Insa
also determined that Scholz is still the most popular among the three candidates for chancellor when it comes to the K question.
He adds two percentage points and comes to 29 percent.
Although Laschet can easily increase his value (by one point), he remains well behind the SPD candidate with 15 percent.
Baerbock stays with her 13 percent.
It is important to consider with surveys, besides the fact that they are snapshots: other opinion research institutes keep coming up with (slightly) different values when comparing figures.
At least one trend can be identified through surveys.
In the end, however, what counts is the vote that voters send in by letter or cast in the voting booth.
(cibo)
Notes on the survey
The opinion research institute Insa
surveyed 1,450 people
for the
picture
.
The period for the stated values was August 9th to 13th, 2021. Surveys are always associated with certain uncertainties.
The maximum margin of error here is plus / minus 2.5 percentage points.
For the survey on the K question, 1002 people were interviewed on August 13th.