The latest polls see the Union continuing to decline.
Only a few hours before the first TV triall a very bad situation for Armin Laschet (CDU).
Berlin - The Union's low flight could hardly be more painful four weeks before the federal election and just a few hours before the TV triall on Sunday, August 29th.
Because: The Union comes under Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet (CDU) in the Insa survey on the lowest value that the polling institute has ever measured for the Union.
In the survey that the polling institute Insa
collects
every week for
Bild am Sonntag
, the Social Democrats gain two percentage points compared to the previous week and now come to 24 percent - the highest result in the “Sunday trend” since September 2017. The Union however, it loses one point and comes to 21 percent.
The value shown in the Sunday trend is the lowest that Insa has ever measured for the CDU / CSU.
The Greens remain at 17 percent, the FDP at 13 percent.
AfD (11 percent) and Left (6 percent) each lose one point.
Survey debacle for CDU / CSU: Only ten percent would vote for Laschet - Scholz benefits
The TV trio on Sunday, which will be broadcast on
RTL
and
ntv
at 8:15 p.m., could certainly have an impact on the current polls
. As the number of postal voters continues to rise, the current state of opinion of the Germans also plays a greater role - and this could depend heavily on the current survey results as well as on the television appearance of the chancellor candidates.
This puts Laschet under massive pressure, because the downward trend for the Union is also continuing in the personal polls of the chancellor candidates.
In a direct election this week, only ten percent of those surveyed would vote for Laschet, which is two percentage points less than a week ago.
Green candidate Annalena Baerbock wins one point and comes to 14 percent this week.
SPD candidate Olaf Scholz loses three points, but is still well ahead of his two opponents with 31 percent.
36 percent would not vote for any of the three candidates.
Federal election 2021: Voters for the Union halved compared to 2017
A closer look at the election data shows that Armin Laschet cannot hold the voters who voted for the CDU under Merkel in 2017. Only 49 percent of the Union voters from the last federal election intend to vote for the Union again in September. 18 percent go to the SPD, 13 percent to the FDP and twelve percent to the Greens.
Currently five three-way alliances would be possible: four with a Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) and one with a Chancellor Armin Laschet (CDU).
The SPD would have majorities in the Bundestag with a traffic light alliance (SPD, Greens, FDP), a Germany coalition (SPD, CDU / CSU and FDP), a Kenya coalition (SPD, CDU / CSU and Greens) and a red red-green alliance (SPD, Greens and Left).
The Union could therefore only save its own chancellorship with a Jamaica alliance (CDU / CSU, Greens and FDP).
Survey before the federal election in 2021: Söder warns the Union of a loss of power
CSU leader Markus Söder warned the Union urgently of a loss of power after the election on September 26th. "We have to do everything we can to prevent a historic slide to the left in Germany," he told "Bild am Sonntag". "The danger has never been so great that a left-wing alliance will take over." It is now important that the Union is still ahead of the SPD and the Greens.
(nai / dpa)
