09/02/2021 23:35
Clarín.com
Opinion
Updated 09/02/2021 23:35
There is a strong internal debate, at the highest level of the Frente de Todos, about
the direction that the Casa Rosada will take
.
The fight includes those who intend to sustain the current situation and sectors that promote a future "swerve."
Cristina prepares a battle to impose on new ministers
and Sergio Massa, a plan to give rationality to economic policy.
Máximo seeks more spaces of power and the vice president's toughs encourage the radicalization of the economy.
The fight was reflected like an iceberg in public events.
Cristina challenged the President and asked him to put "order" in the Casa Rosada.
Alberto spoke of disloyalty and affirmed that the President is not going to “betray” Cristina, Máximo and Massa.
The Casa Rosada launched a “light” version of the issue: which alluded to a tweet from “el Cuervo” Larroque.
But that extemporaneous phrase resounded loudly: it would have been due to deeper questions and reproaches on the cusp of Olivos.
In the last weeks there have been - again -
strong crosses between the President and the vice president.
Cristina ,
as anticipated
Bugler
- had left transcend their discomfort for the mistakes of the President. So he said:
"Alberto does not stop shitting."
The President found out immediately. The issue caused another short circuit. In a direct dialogue between the two there were mutual reproaches and Alberto went back to playing to the limit. Cristina would have told him
to stop threatening.
Alberto is irritated by the constant attitude of the vice, which
erodes his image
as President.
Cristina retruca: Alberto wears himself out.
They say that strong words were used and that everything forced an unusual negotiation between the two.
Máximo, Massa and Wado de Pedro were
the composers
of the last dispute at the highest level.
The fight ended in that unusual presidential speech: an unexpected public promise that he was not going to betray her.
But the stakes for the future of the government continue.
Cristina
wants to see heads roll
and in the future more active policies from the Headquarters of the Cabinet and the Palacio de Hacienda.
Minister Martín Guzmán has the full endorsement of Alberto.
But he
stopped having the support of the vice, as well as Máximo and Massa himself
.
Guzmán is a victim of these political fights and the wave of intrigue and mistrust that took over the Cabinet itself.
Countless versions of future candidates to occupy the Palacio de Hacienda circulate among businessmen.
Guzmán counterattacks: he says they are interested operations and businessmen fear the possibility that Axel Kicillof - through a delegate - will
take control of the Palacio de Hacienda
.
The imminent electoral contest - it is obvious - will partly clear up the uncertainty: a Buenos Aires victory would calm the waters of the Alberto-Cristina dispute.
The last survey that the President received calmed the spirits
: it says that Victoria Tolosa Paz wins by a minimum of 5 and a maximum of 7 points.
But nothing is said.
All the polls have a strong flow of undecided.
About 30%.
Clarín
confirmed that a leading international bank gathered its top clients and offered a confidential electoral evaluation.
The bankers have
a divided scenario
: a draw at the national level and a tighter victory in Buenos Aires.
These confidential works affirm that the Frente de Todos would win by only 3 points in Buenos Aires.
Businessmen believe these fights are going to escalate.
The same diagnosis they have on Wall Street.
In Manhattan they have
three scenarios
for the next few months and they want there to be an electoral tie. The confidential reports of the "wolves" affirm that an electoral tie will force the Frente de Todos to have
a rational economic policy
to reach 2023 with a chance to remain in power. It would be the only way to get moderate votes. On the other hand, they say on Wall Street, a categorical defeat or triumph of the Frente de Todos will accelerate the
economic absurdities
carried out by the Alberto-Cristina duo. In Buenos Aires, the CEOs of corporations multiply inquiries.
Guzmán defends himself from all the attacks, which rain down on the Economy.
In front of a group of bankers, he affirmed that everything was under control.
So he said:
“The exchange front does not worry me.
We have control of the dollar ”.
And he added: "The exchange rate is not backward."
It happened on Wednesday, in a meeting with Abapra bankers.
Eduardo Hecker, Juan Cuatromo, Carlos Heller, Guillermo Laje and Ignacio de Mendiguren were there.
Guzman was sincere and threw darts at Miguel Pesce:
"I'm worried
he stated
by the stock of Leliq and passes in the BCRA"
.
The minister responded thus to the restlessness of the market.
This Thursday, the BCRA lost more than US $ 100 million.
In this week alone he squandered a whopping: US $ 400 million.
A paper from the Association of Argentine Banks says that the bleeding will continue, but that
the Casa Rosada will hold the price until the elections "whatever the cost
.
"
Among the bankers there is a coincidence.
Tensions increase and the fall in reserves will be capitalized until November: it is estimated at
US $ 4 billion
.
The "electoral dollar" is a key piece for the "Urn Plan".
Its manipulation will have severe costs.
This Thursday was a difficult day for the business world.
Molino Cañuelas appeared in bankruptcy: he owes 1.3 billion dollars.
Alberto toughened the speech against businessmen.
It is a fruit of the intrigues with Cristina.
The ideological fight with the countryside arises from the
political myopia
of the Frente de Todos.
Also, of the old ideas that Cristina raises.
The field
provided a lifeline this year
to avoid the financial catastrophe.
There was a record of foreign exchange liquidation and the BCRA was able to rebuild the reserves that it now uses to control the banknote.
Axel Kicillof managed to impose the extension of the stocks to the meat.
He twisted Matías Kulfas's arm, with this argument: "I cannot run the risk that the meat increases in the elections."
Cristina's anti-entrepreneurial criteria also forced Alberto to make an outrage this Thursday at the Industrial Union:
he was not an important official at the celebration of Industry Day.
The President left Daniel Funes de Rioja hanging from the brush.
At the last minute he announced the political rudeness.
Nor was it Kulfas.
The order was not to attend
.
Only were - by protocol - the secretary of industry Ariel Schale and Paula Español.
The presence of the Secretary of Commerce was striking: she is usually the "executioner" in charge of
controlling, and threatening
-for prices- businessmen.
The differences between the UIA and the Casa Rosada began with the election of Funes de Rioja.
Cristina developed non-existent conspiracy theories and "accused" the UIA of being liberal.
He says that behind everything is Techint.
Funes had a conflict with Ignacio de Mendiguren.
The "Basque" this Thursday was in the celebration to appease the spirits and also Paolo Rocca.
The situation is awkward, and eye-catching.
Because Alberto says he supports production and also talks about concertation.
But the Casa Rosada does the exact opposite.
He broke the dialogue and fights with the main business centers:
the Liaison Table and now the UIA.
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