Opinion | The humiliation in Kabul is a wake-up call to Washington Israel today

Dare to come out sweet:

There is a chance that the echoes of the humiliating exit from Afghanistan in the global arena will force the Biden administration to change direction and break away from Obama's poor and dangerous legacy.

If that happens, and it does not have to happen, Israel and its Arab allies will also be built from it.

There are interesting precedents in American policy, worldwide and in the region, for presidents who have failed in wrong policies and learned the right lesson - or been forced to change policies.

There are also presidents who have refused to acknowledge their failure.

It's too early to judge.

Everyone agrees that US global policy will be examined mainly vis-à-vis China, and specifically in East Asia.

It fails to do so serially, largely out of a lack of understanding - deeply rooted in American strategic thinking - about the priorities of other cultures.

The US cannot afford this poor image to dictate the behavior of Asian and other countries, on which Washington depends its active support.

Israel is a clear example of a junior ally, repeatedly frustrated by the failures inherent in American thinking, but in the absence of another choice can mostly miss the realistic exceptions in the White House, such as Nixon and Kissinger.

India is a clear example of a power without which the United States cannot deal effectively with China, and its freedom of action is much greater.

Biden: "We have ended the long war in American history" // Photo: Reuters

Even if the depth assessment of the Afghan failure in Washington, Beijing, New Delhi, Tokyo and Hanoi is exaggerated, what determines is the urgent need of the Biden administration to prove that American support can be trusted.

He needs it to deal with the daring of the Chinese, who "smell" weakness and increase their threats on Taiwan, and with the US Allies' anxieties about the loss of the way and the helplessness of the superpower.

Under these conditions, Biden's surrender to Iran will signal a return to the nuclear deal, which Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the Emirates and other US allies have abandoned in the Middle East, in a foolish attempt to appease its enemies. , As a move that lifted sanctions, and that effectively reconciled with the development of the warhead and ballistic system and with the momentum of Iranian hegemony in the region - in exchange for the virtual incarceration of the nuclear-enriched horses, who had long since fled the stable.

Failed American presidents in the Middle East have sometimes recovered.

Eisenhower, who failed against Nasser and undermined the pro-Western regimes in the region, adopted a different doctrine and saved - directly and through the British - such regimes in Lebanon and Jordan.

Carter, who is in favor of regional peace with the participation of the PLO, Syria and the USSR, shifted his folly at the initiative of Sadat and entered into a separate agreement between Israel and Egypt.

Biden has not really failed yet.

There is a chance he will follow in their footsteps and not in the legacy of his mentor.

Obama denies his failure in Egypt (raising the Muslim Brotherhood), in Turkey (an alliance with Erdogan), in the Palestinian issue (assessing their importance and toughening their position), in Syria (inviting and strengthening the Russians), in Iraq (dominating Iranian militias) and Iran (abandoning the rebels in 2009 -2015).

If the Japanese Biden in the crucial global struggle with China can not afford another resounding failure in the Middle East, Israel and its Arab allies will be built from it.

If the US wants to reduce its military presence and direct responsibility in the region, it must not leave in favor of a broken reed, as in Afghanistan, and certainly not strengthen a radical anti-American enemy seeking to establish hegemony in the region.

Here is at her disposal, as an extreme exception, a strong and determined ally, the only one who does not want American soldiers in her defense.

The same ally - Israel - leads an Arab coalition, led by Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the Emirates, with capabilities that complement Israeli power.

One must be detached from regional reality more than any past administration (except, perhaps, Obama) in order to give up this possibility in favor of the hallucination of Iranian reconciliation and its moderation.