The SPD around Scholz is ahead in the current surveys.
According to pollster Peter Matuschek, that doesn't mean anything.
Berlin - "The party that still has the most reserves on the home straight would be the Union": This is what Peter Matuschek said about the current polls from CDU / CSU in an interview with
n-tv
.
The pollster from the Forsa Institute does not see the federal election as decided yet.
Meanwhile: "The question is, however, whether you can tap this potential with Armin Laschet," he added.
In the latest opinion polls, Union Chancellor candidate Laschet is still well behind SPD opponent Olaf Scholz.
Polls: According to pollsters, Scholz has no reason to be cocky
According to Matuschek, the latter is facing a difficult date: His hearing on September 20 in the Bundestag Finance Committee.
It's about the recent searches in his ministry.
The current approval for the SPD will not affect this, Matuschek believes ("The Wirecard scandal did not really harm Scholz either") - but the Social Democrats should not rest on their polls.
Forsa researcher: "Scholz stubbornly continued his election campaign"
Why are they doing so well in polls all of a sudden?
"While Armin Laschet and Annalena Baerbock stumbled, Scholz stubbornly continued his election campaign," is Matuschek's analysis.
When asked about the possibility of changing a GroKo to Red-Green-Red, Matuschek suspects that the SPD candidate for Chancellor has tactical reasons with a view to the FDP: “Scholz does not rule out the left-wing alliance in order to have bargaining power for later coalition negotiations.
If he were to rule out red-green-red now, Christian Lindner, as kingmaker, could dictate the conditions to him. "
Bundestag election: FDP leaders for “Jamaica” even if the SPD wins
Leading FDP politicians, meanwhile, are in favor of a “Jamaica coalition” between their party and the Greens under the leadership of the Union - even if the SPD should become the strongest force.
Their distance from the Union would be irrelevant, party vice-president Wolfgang Kubicki told the
spark
-
newspapers
: "It is enough that such an alliance would have a majority."
FDP leader Lindner told the
Rheinische Post
that there was no automatism "that the candidate of the strongest party moves into the Chancellery".
This time, more than ever, it depends on the coalition talks after the election.
Mike Schier from
Münchner Merkur
also writes about this
in a comment.
In an interview with the
Funke newspapers
,
Kubicki expected
that in the coming days many Union voters could switch to the FDP for strategic reasons. The reason for this is the assumption that only the FDP could prevent red-green-red in the federal government.
(frs with material from AFP)