Canadian general election and Trudeau's political future at stake

Montreal-Sana

"Trudeau's political future is at stake" This is how many Canadian and foreign political circles described the current political situation in Canada with the opening of the first early general election polls today, which Prime Minister Justin Trudeau called about two months ago in an attempt to regain the majority he lost in 2019 based on The repercussions of dealing with the Corona crisis.

"A fierce battle" was expected by opinion polls after they revealed a close rapprochement between the Conservative Party and Trudeau's liberal party, with a difference of one percentage point, between them 33 percent for the Conservatives, compared to 32 percent for the Liberal Party.

Felix Mathieu, a professor of political affairs at the University of Winnipeg, Canada, told AFP: “It is hard to imagine a much hotter competition.” And like 2019 the state of anticipation prompts analysts to say: “It seems that the majority is hard to reach for anyone.”

About 27 million Canadians over the age of 18 were called to vote today to elect 338 MPs to the House of Commons.

The formation of a minority government is the expected solution for the winner of the election if neither of the two major parties can obtain a majority of seats in Parliament and the future Prime Minister, Liberal or Conservative, will have to cooperate with the smallest parties to rule in Ottawa, including the New Democratic Party “National Democratic Party” left Led by Jagmeet Singh, who received 20 percent of the vote, and the Quebec bloc, the "Independent Party" led by Yves Francois Blanchett, which appears to have improved its position at the end of the campaign after a controversy.

The French Press Agency notes that the Green Party, led by Anami Paul, the last major party in the race, is seeking to deliver its message of the existence of a climate emergency and is trying to continue due to problems related to unity, image and funding, while Daniel Bilan, a professor at Canadian McGill University, said: “The question at first was about whether it was worth The liberals are a majority government and the question now is whether they deserve to stay in power.”

Trudeau himself said before the start of the elections, according to international media: “The choice is between a liberal or conservative government and what makes a difference for Canadians is whether there is a progressive government or not.”

With the results expected to result in a minority government formed by the Liberals, Trudeau was asked whether this election would be his last. If voters give Trudeau, who was first elected in 2015, a third term, everything they hate about him will get worse, and his party is the only option for anyone who is discontented with the Liberals.”

Reuters, in turn, analyzed the election as initially looking easy for Trudeau to win, as the Liberals had a comfortable lead in the opinion polls before it was called, but it became an unexpected stalemate due to what the agency said was a lackluster campaign, a resurgence of old scandals, and public anger over the timing of this election. .

Experts and analysts described the current campaign as the worst and most violent in Canadian history, after the three main parties were subjected to a number of acts of violence and sabotage against candidates and electoral banners across Canada.