In Berlin, too, there will be elections on Sunday.
Franziska Giffey and her SPD have good cards.
But pollsters warn after the latest poll.
Berlin - Shortly before the election to the Berlin House of Representatives, the SPD and the Greens are still close together, according to a new survey.
The SPD around top candidate Franziska Giffey in first place was able to slightly increase its lead compared to the previous week.
The Berlin Social Democrats come in the ZDF “Politbarometer Extra” of the research group Elections to 22 percent (+ 1), the Greens to 19 percent (- 1).
The CDU follows in third place with an unchanged 17 percent.
According to the poll published on Thursday, the Left has 13 percent (+ 1), the AfD unchanged at 9 percent, and the FDP at 7 percent (-1).
The other parties together achieve 13 percent.
Berlin election: Red-Red-Green could keep the majority in the House of Representatives
A possible reason for the situation could also be the top staff of the parties in the capital: According to the survey commissioned by ZDF, 37 percent of those questioned want Giffey as governing mayor - despite all allegations of plagiarism.
CDU candidate Kai Wegner has 19 percent approval, the Green Bettina Jarasch 18 percent.
However, Wegner and Jarasch were able to reduce the gap by 5 and 4 percentage points respectively compared to the week.
In mathematical terms, the red-red-green coalition that has been in power since 2016 would still have a majority of 54 percent.
The Left and the Greens have spoken out in favor of continuing red-red-green.
Other alliances of three parties, such as the SPD, CDU and FDP, which according to the survey would come to 46 percent, would also be conceivable.
The research group Wahlen emphasizes that their projection values do not represent a forecast for the outcome of the election on September 26th, especially since 29 percent of Berliners are not yet sure whether and who they want to vote.
Election in Berlin: (Almost) everything open for the House of Representatives?
Pollsters warn of "considerable" differences
Opinion researcher Matthias Jung from the Wahlen research group believes that a greater difference between the forecasts and the result is possible, especially in the capital. Among other things, this is due to the fact that party ties are lower in large cities than in rural areas. “In modern and young structures, people are less closely bound, so the path from one party to the other is easy. Then the differences between the survey and the result can be considerable, ”said Jung. In Berlin, three parties would also be similarly far ahead. As a result, comparatively few votes could turn the result.
The Elections Research Group surveyed 1,103 eligible voters Monday through Wednesday.
The capital is currently ruled by a red-red-green senate.
The governing mayor Michael Müller is leaving state politics and applying for an SPD mandate in the Bundestag.
dpa / AFP / fn