Last polls on the federal election: Armin Laschet is getting closer and closer to Olaf Scholz

The groundbreaking federal election in 2021 is imminent.

What do the polls say shortly before the crucial Sunday?

An overview.

• The latest polls promise an exciting federal election in 2021 *.

• Will the union of the CDU * and CSU * again be the strongest force in the Bundestag * or will the SPD * win the race?

• Olaf Scholz * (SPD) would like to become Federal Chancellor - and also receives significantly more approval than Armin Laschet * (CDU).

Update from 09/22/2021, 1:15 p.m.:

A current poll on the 2021 federal election sees the SPD and Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz at the forefront *.

On behalf of RTL Germany, the opinion research institute Forsa asked 1001 people between September 17 and 20, which party would receive the most votes on election day and who would lead the next federal government as chancellor.

The result is overwhelming; the competition is far behind.

Survey on the 2021 federal election: SPD ahead of the Union and the Greens

First report from 09/21/2021:

Frankfurt / Berlin - a federal election has not been that close for a long time. A tendency has been evident for some time: The SPD is ahead of the Union and the Greens *. A few days before the election, it seems, the CDU / CSU are making up some ground again after a downturn in August, as the result of the Forsa survey from 09/21/2021 shows. In the RTL / NTV trend barometer, the SPD * is three percentage points ahead of the Union.

It looks different in the "K question".

If Germany could elect the Federal Chancellor directly, SPD candidate Olaf Scholz would in all likelihood clearly prevail.

According to the ZDF * political barometer of September 17, 2021, 48 percent of those surveyed would like him to be head of government if they had the choice.

Far behind in second place follows Armin Laschet with 22, followed by Green Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock * with 15 percent.

Survey on the 2021 federal election: which party would Germans vote for?

Bundestag election 2021	SPD	union	Green	FDP	AfD	left	Others
Forsa 09/21/2021	25th	22nd	17th	11	11	6th	8th
Insa 09/20/2021	25th	22nd	15th	11	11	6th	9
Research group elections 17.09.2021	25th	22nd	16	11	11	6th	9
Infratest dimap September 16, 2021	26	22nd	15th	11	11	6th	9
Emnid 09/16/2021	26	20th	17th	11	12th	6th	8th
YouGov 09/16/2021	25th	20th	15th	10	11	8th	11
Civey 09/15/2021	25th	23	17th	12th	10	6th	7th
Forsa 09/14/2021	25th	21	17th	11	11	6th	9
Allensbach September 8th, 2021	27	25th	15.5	9.5	11	6th	6th

In surveys, the SPD is currently at a value of 25 percent, the CDU / CSU union is between 20 and 22 percent.

The Greens are between 15 and 16 percent.

It currently looks even more stable with the FDP, AfD * and Left,

Survey on the 2021 federal election: SPD in front of the Union - which coalitions are possible?

With regard to the formation of a government after the federal election, the question of possible coalitions * of the parties also arises.

The only mathematically possible two-party alliance would be a new edition of the grand coalition of the SPD and the Union, this time with the CDU / CSU as a junior partner.

The so-called traffic light from SPD, FDP * and Greens would be possible and would mean that the Union would have to go back into the opposition for the first time in 16 years.

However, a “Jamaica alliance” consisting of the CDU / CSU, the Greens and the FDP is also conceivable.

A majority would also have a “Germany coalition” made up of the Union, SPD and FDP and a red-green-red alliance made up of the SPD, the Greens and the Left *.

However, according to the representative Allensbach survey between September 1 and 7, 2021, almost 40 percent of those eligible to vote * are undecided who they will support next Sunday (September 26, 2021).

According to this, 63 percent of those questioned find that the top candidates of the parties are all unconvincing.

Survey on the 2021 federal election: Who do Germans want as Federal Chancellor?

Bundestag election 2021	Olaf Scholz (SPD)	Armin Laschet (CDU)	Annalena Baerbock (Greens)
ZDF Politbarometer 17.09.2021	48	22nd	15th
ZDF Politbarometer 09/10/2021	48	21	16
ZDF Political Barometer September 3rd, 2021	53	18th	14th
Source: Elections Research Group

Survey on the Federal Parliament election 2021: Who is suitable as a Federal Chancellor?

Bundestag election 2021	Olaf Scholz (SPD)	Armin Laschet (CDU)	Annalena Baerbock (Greens)
ZDF Politbarometer 17.09.2021	67	29	26
ZDF Politbarometer 09/10/2021	68	29	24
ZDF Political Barometer September 3rd, 2021	70	25th	23
Source: Elections Research Group

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