Only a few days until the general election, now the last polls are coming in.
There are positive signals for Laschets Union - but no sigh of relief.
Berlin - The race shortly before the general election was seldom as open as this year - and there is actually still a lot in motion in the polls: A new survey by the Kantar Institute sees the Union as slightly on the upswing.
Forsa’s competition had determined something similar this week.
However, the new numbers are not yet a direct reason for exuberant cheers for Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet and Co.
Survey on the federal election: Laschets Union is catching up - but the distance to Scholz and the SPD remains noticeable
Because the new Kantar survey on behalf of the
Focus
sees the CDU and CSU gain a percentage point compared to the previous week to 21 percent - but the Union was also particularly clearly behind the SPD at the institute.
Instead of six percentage points, the gap between the two parties is now only four percentage points.
The SPD of top candidate Olaf Scholz loses one point at Kantar and now comes to 25 percent.
There is clearly bad news for the Greens: The party also loses one point and comes to 16 percent, the AfD also falls by one point to 11 percent.
The left improves by one percentage point to 7 percent, the FDP remains at 11 percent.
Federal election 2021: surveys give a hint - but surprises for the SPD, CDU and CSU are possible
In recent weeks, the SPD was well ahead of the Union in numerous polls, which in many cases achieved historically poor poll numbers.
In principle, election surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a prognosis for the outcome of the election.
You are also always fraught with uncertainties.
Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected.
According to its own information, Kantar interviewed 1,433 people from September 15 to 21 for the present survey.
The institute puts the statistical error tolerance at +/- 3 percent on average.
There will also be elections at the weekend in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and in the city-state of Berlin.
While current surveys on the coast clearly see the SPD in the lead, the demoscopic data for the capital indicate a closer race - here, however, there are also special problems with the survey.
(
fn / dpa
)