It is the all-important week for the parties in Germany.
The general election is due next Sunday.
We give an overview of the surveys.
Munich / Berlin - Germany holds its breath before election day on September 26, 2021, because it has never been so tight. The tendency of the most recent polls is clear: SPD ahead of CDU / CSU and the Greens. But a week before the election there are small but perhaps decisive deviations from research institute to research institute. Because every half a percentage point can ultimately be decisive for forming a coalition. Armin Laschet's (Union) last hope to make up ground is likely to be another attack appearance against Olaf Scholz (SPD) in the last TV triall of Prosieben / Sat.1. Annalena Baerbock's (Greens) last trump card is likely to be the climate strike on the Friday before the election. He could still pull indecisive citizens to green.
(Election data, live ticker, background coverage - you can get all the information about the federal election 2021 in our politics newsletter.)
From the two-party alliances, it is currently sufficient at most to reissue the coalition of the SPD and the Union.
It would also suffice for a traffic light made up of the SPD, Greens and FDP, for a government made up of CDU / CSU, Greens and FDP (“Jamaica Coalition”), an alliance made up of SPD, CDU and FDP (“Germany Coalition”) and for Red-green-red.
However, according to the information, around 38 percent of voters are still not sure who or whether they want to vote.
Here you will find an overview of the polls from the past week as well as those from the crucial week before the general election.
Polls before the federal election - Forsa poll from September 21:
The parties don't have much time left for major trend reversals in surveys.
In a new Forsa survey for RTL / ntv, the Union can narrow the gap to the leading SPD again a little.
It has gained one percentage point compared to the previous week and now lands at 22 percent.
Further ahead, however, with an unchanged result, is the Social Democrats with 25 percent.
All other major parties also remain stable: The Greens have 17 percent.
FDP and AfD both reach 11 percent.
The left stays at 6 percent.
According to the survey, a majority capable of governing have a “traffic light” (SPD, Greens and FDP), the failed “Jamaica Alliance” (Union, Greens and FDP), a “Grand Coalition” (SPD and Union) and “Red-Green” -Rot “(SPD, Greens and Left).
Election of a new Bundestag - Insa Sunday trend from September 20:
Before the federal election in a week, the Union rose slightly in a new Insa survey, but is still three percentage points behind the SPD.
The Social Democrats with their candidate for Chancellor Olaf Scholz are in the "opinion trend" for
Bild
at 25 percentage points and lose one point.
The union with Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet comes to 22 percent, one percentage point more than in the previous week.
The Greens follow at a clear distance, the party of Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock remains at 15 percent.
The FDP loses one point and is 12 percent.
The AfD is unchanged at 11 and the left at 6.5 percent.
The other parties together come to 8.5 percent.
Politbarometer, Deutschlandtrend and Co .: The surveys at a glance
* |
SPD |
union |
Green |
FDP |
AfD |
left |
Others |
Kantar 09/23/2021 |
25th |
21 |
16 |
11 |
11 |
7th |
9 |
Forsa 09/21/2021 |
25th |
22nd |
17th |
11 |
11 |
6th |
8th |
Insa 09/20/2021 |
25th |
22nd |
15th |
12th |
11 |
6.5 |
8.5 |
Research group elections 17.09.2021 |
25th |
22nd |
16 |
11 |
11 |
6th |
9 |
Infratest dimap September 16, 2021 |
26 |
22nd |
15th |
11 |
11 |
6th |
9 |
Civey 09/15/2021 |
25th |
23 |
17th |
12th |
10 |
6th |
7th |
Emnid 09/16/2021 |
26 |
20th |
17th |
11 |
12th |
6th |
8th |
YouGov 09/16/2021 |
25th |
20th |
15th |
10 |
11 |
8th |
11 |
Allensbach September 8th, 2021 |
27 |
25th |
15.5 |
9.5 |
11 |
6th |
6th |
Surveys before the Bundestag election - Politbarometer (Research Group Elections) from September 17th:
In the ZDF “Politbarometer”, the CDU / CSU remained at 22 percent, as in the previous two weeks.
The SPD remained in the lead with an unchanged 25 percent.
The Greens lost one point to 16 percent.
Nothing changed in terms of the values for the other parties.
The FDP and AfD remained at eleven percent, the Left Party at six percent.
67 percent trust Olaf Scholz to run the Chancellery.
Union candidate Armin Laschet, on the other hand, consider only 29 percent to be eligible for chancellor.
Green candidate Baerbock is here at 26 percent.
On average, the SPD is rounded at 26 percentage points, the CDU / CSU at 22, the Greens at 16, the FDP and AfD at around 11 percentage points and the Left at 6.
Surveys before the federal election - "Germany trend" (Infratest dimap) from September 16:
Compared to the survey at the beginning of September, the social democrats in the ARD “Germany trend” were able to gain one point to 26 percent.
The Union is even growing by two points and now comes to 22 percent.
According to the information, the Greens remain in third place with 15 percent (minus one).
The FDP and AfD are on par with eleven percent - the Liberals lost two points, the AfD one.
The left is unchanged at six percent.
If the Federal Chancellor could be directly elected, according to “Deutschlandtrend” 40 percent would choose SPD Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz (minus three compared to the beginning of September).
19 percent (plus three) wanted the Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet as head of government, 13 percent (plus one) were for Green Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock.
28 percent (minus one) did not want to see any of the three personalities in the Chancellery.
The current surveys reflect the mood during the survey period.
They are not predictions for election day.
The institutes put the statistical error tolerance at +/- 2.5 percentage points.
List of rubric lists: © Sven Hoppe / dpa
