On Sunday, every vote is at stake for the parties.
Under certain circumstances it can be tight in the end.
A tie cannot be ruled out either.
Berlin - The outcome of the Bundestag election on Sunday (September 26th) is still completely open.
There are signs of a neck and neck race between the SPD and the Union.
At least the CDU / CSU have been able to narrow the gap to the leading social democrats in surveys in recent days.
But surveys are snapshots, not forecasts.
They're still to come.
But what if two parties get the same result?
Federal election 2021: what happens if there is a tie?
In the case of direct candidates who are elected with the first vote, the candidate wins the constituency that has received the most votes.
If there is a tie, the federal electoral law clearly regulates this: "In the event of a tie, the lot to be drawn by the district returning officer decides," says Paragraph 5.
When looking at the percentages for the second vote share of the parties, it can of course also happen that the same results occur.
Depending on how much the values are rounded, the sooner.
Usually results are given with the first decimal place.
The same numbers can appear in the front seats as well as in the smaller parties.
A tie is much less likely when it comes to the absolute number of votes cast per party.
Bundestag election: Equal second vote share between parties?
Nonetheless, it is possible.
But when it comes to the share of second votes, a tie is not a serious problem, even in the top places.
You do not have to vote again, because in
principle there does not have to be a winner
in the federal election
(all information in our news ticker)
With their second vote, the voters decide on the number of seats the parties will get in parliament.
The voter does not decide directly who becomes chancellor in the end.
This is where the newly composed Bundestag comes into play.
Bundestag election: final rallies by the top candidates
It is traditionally the case that the party with the most votes receives the government mandate after the election.
But all parties can hold exploratory talks and sound out which coalitions are possible.
Because the parties have kept many back doors open in this election campaign, a lot is also conceivable in 2021.
(Scholz or Laschet? You can get the latest forecasts and first results in our politics newsletter.)
Bundestag election: a tie?
The majority of the Bundestag elects the Chancellor
Possible, exemplary scenario: If the Union and SPD get the same number of seats in the Bundestag, both could try to hold talks with the Greens and FDP, should it be mathematically for a “Jamaica Alliance” (with Union) or a “traffic light coalition” “(With SPD) are enough.
Anyone who can ultimately unite a majority on their respective candidate in the election of the Chancellor in the Bundestag may represent the government.
Another question is whether the parties consider a tie a success or a failure.
The Union itself continues to claim to emerge as the strongest force in the election.
If that does not succeed, there are several scenarios of what will become of Union chancellor candidate and CDU leader Armin Laschet.