For the CSU in particular, a defeat of the CDU and CSU parties in the federal election in 2021 could have serious consequences.
Berlin - For several weeks now, the results of the polls for the 2021 federal election * have painted a rather dreary picture for the CDU * and CSU * parties. For a short time, the alliance even slipped below the 20 percent limit. Before one of the tightest federal elections in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany, the leading politicians of the conservative parties are still in a positive mood, but that could change quickly, especially for the representatives of the CSU and their party leader Markus Söder *, in the event of an election defeat.
Because the CDU's bad polls have recently also made themselves felt in the values of the little sister in Bavaria.
In the so-called “voter check” of the regional television broadcaster Sat.1 Bayern, 29 percent of those questioned recently said that they would tick their boxes for the CSU.
At the end of July, the trend for the CSU was still 35 percent, in the previous federal election in 2017 it was even in the range of 48 and 49 percent.
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Bavaria's Prime Minister Markus Söder and his wife Karin cast their votes in a school in Nuremberg on Sunday.
© Daniel Karmann / dpa
The result of the federal election in 2021 will affect the state elections in Bavaria and thus the CSU
Experts predict that an election defeat of the Union could do even more harm to the CSU and its chairman Markus Söder - if the CDU and CSU could threaten to go into the opposition under a possible SPD *-led coalition - and thus a kind of downward spiral for the CSU. Without CSU representatives in the federal government, Bavarian interests would only rarely be represented separately, which could further damage the popularity of the Bavarian Union Party.
Also with regard to the upcoming Bavarian state election in autumn 2023, in which the CSU politician Söder is likely to plan to defend his post as father of the state.
In the last state election in 2018, the CSU had already slumped by a whopping 10.5 percentage points to 37.2 percent.
The damage that a failure in the Bundestag election could cause for the CSU would already be foreseeable for the Christian Socialists on election evening.
CSU |
29% |
SPD |
17% |
Green |
16% |
FDP |
13% |
left |
5% |
AfD |
11% |
Result of the GMS survey on the federal election on behalf of Sat.1 Bavaria on September 16, 2021.
Söder casts his vote in the Bundestag election in Nuremberg: CSU chief cautiously optimistic
Söder probably knows that too, who when he cast his vote on Sunday morning in Nuremberg emphasized that there are “nicer days”: “There is no more difficult day than election day because you wait and wait and wait and hope to get some good signal” , said Söder, who wanted to make his way to Berlin after the vote to support the sister party's candidate for chancellor, Armin Laschet *, on election evening.
Because on the morning of the election, Söder was also optimistic about the chances of the two union parties: "I hope that Armin Laschet will get the government contract," said Söder.
But it will be tight and therefore exciting.
Laschet caused a scandal when he cast his vote in Aachen that morning.
(ska / dpa) * fr.de is an offer from IPPEN.MEDIA
List of rubric lists: © Daniel Karmann / dpa