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Coalition Games: Jamaica, Traffic Lights and Co. - How many mandates does it take for a majority?

2021-09-29T00:30:12.092Z

The Bundestag was already considered bloated before the Bundestag election. Now he could soon be bursting at the seams. The reason for this are the overhang mandates.



The Bundestag was already considered bloated before the Bundestag election.

Now he could soon be bursting at the seams.

The reason for this are the overhang mandates.

Berlin - The counting of the votes should be done by Monday morning.

Only then will it be known how big the new Bundestag will be.

But the distribution of seats in the Bundestag is a complex issue.

Overhang and compensatory mandates will help Parliament grow.

The previous Bundestag already had an XL size with 709 members.

But is now the XXL Bundestag coming?

The standard size of the Bundestag is actually 598 MPs - 299 MPs directly elected in the constituencies with the first vote and 299 MPs recruited via the state lists.

But then there are the overhang mandates.

As a result of the complicated electoral law, they contribute to the fact that the actual target size of the parliament is drastically exceeded.

Surplus mandates arise when a party receives more direct mandates than it is entitled to based on the second vote result.

The parties are allowed to keep these seats.

So that the majority ratios determined by the second vote result are actually reflected in the Bundestag, the other parties receive compensation mandates for this.

How big will the new Bundestag be?

Parliament could continue to grow through overhang mandates

According to current projections, the newly elected Bundestag is already above the previous 709 seats.

How many seats are required for a majority depends on the ultimate size of parliament - and after the recent reform of the GroKo's electoral law, up to three overhang seats could remain unbalanced.

However, the final result is still pending and depends on the direct mandates.

More than two thirds of Germans already thought the previous Bundestag was too big.

In a survey by the opinion research institute YouGov on behalf of the German Press Agency, 71 percent said that there were too many members of parliament.

11 percent said they thought the number of seats was just right.

Only 3 percent thought the Bundestag had to be enlarged. 

What does this mean for possible coalitions?

In order to govern, you need a majority.

Currently (

as of September 26, 10:45 p.m.

) the traffic lights from SPD, Greens and FDP, Jamaica from Union, FDP and Greens would also be feasible at the moment.

A reissue of the GroKo from Union and SPD would be an option - albeit unlikely.

According to the current status, it would not be enough for red-green-red, red-green, black-yellow and black-green.

(aka with dpa and AFP)

List of rubric lists: © Michael Kappeler / dpa

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-09-29

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