There is an electoral paradox in the Zemmour phenomenon.
The not yet candidate takes votes from Marine Le Pen, by making her, for the first time, pass below the 20% mark, but it is from the “classic” right that he borrows his sociology.
To discover
Presidential 2022: where are the candidates in the polls?
Viewed in absolute terms, polls can be misleading.
According to the Ifop survey published this Tuesday in
Le Figaro
- on the assumption that Xavier Bertrand would be supported by LR - the essayist gained 5 points in one month when the former president of the RN lost 4 and the boss des Hauts-de-France remained stable.
The conclusion may therefore seem obvious: Zemmour takes Le Pen without touching the right.
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Presidential 2022: Emmanuel Macron keeps an eye on Eric Zemmour
Reality is more complex.
The author of
France has not said its last word
is weak where the member for Pas-de-Calais is strong.
And vice versa.
Marine Le Pen thus obtains 22% of the votes of those under 35 and only 7% of those over 65;
Éric Zemmour respectively 7 and 15%.
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