The federal election rubs off on the political mood in the southwest.
The Southwest SPD, which has almost been written off, is experiencing a kind of comeback.
The new survey is likely to be a shock, especially for the Greens.
Stuttgart - It's a loss of reputation at record speed.
Just seven months after the state elections in Baden-Württemberg, the Greens and CDU have drastically lost approval according to a survey.
The outcome of the federal election may have played a major role in this.
Because: The long-battered Southwest SPD is really pulling up in the wake of election winner Olaf Scholz.
The FDP is also a beneficiary.
The Greens with Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (73) remain in first place with 24 percent, but lose a staggering 8.6 percentage points compared to their historic top result in the March election.
That is the result of an Insa survey on behalf of the "Bild" newspaper (Wednesday).
The CDU, junior partner in the green-black coalition, is slipping further and is only third with 20 percent (minus 4 points).
The SPD, which triumphed in the federal elections at the end of September, also improved significantly in the survey for Baden-Württemberg.
It can almost double its result to 21 percent (plus 10 points) and overtakes the CDU to take second place.
The FDP also gains significantly and thus creates 16 percent (plus 5.5).
The AfD loses easily and comes to 9 percent.
For the Greens, the poll is the next shot across the bow.
Many leading politicians found the result of the federal elections in the country to be unflattering.
With 17.8 percent they only landed in third place behind the severely weakened CDU and the re-strengthened SPD.
In addition, the FDP is on the heels of the Greens.
All of this annoyed the eco party quite a bit.
The crucial green question: What happens when Kretschmann is gone?
The result was heated discussions, most recently at the parliamentary group meeting shortly after the election. The unanimous opinion was that the gap between the result in the state election (32.6 percent) and that in the federal election (17.8 percent) shows what thin ice the Greens are on in the southwest. According to participants, Kretschmann himself urged his family to think urgently about how to secure green success in the south-west in the long term - even if it was then gone.
It was also agreed that lessons should be learned from the general election.
The famous elephant in the room was the question: To what extent can the situation of the Union after Angela Merkel's withdrawal be compared with the situation of the Greens in the country, who will have to do without their overpowering foreman Kretschmann by 2026 at the latest.
Will the eco party then also experience a crash?
Several participants agreed that the race to succeed Kretschmann had not yet opened at the meeting.
Kretschmann's farewell is still too long for that.
Nevertheless, it is clear that the conceivable aspirants, parliamentary group leader Andreas Schwarz and finance minister Danyal Bayaz, would now be watched more closely to see whether they position themselves.
Strobl as "ant" in the CDU forest
After the historical bankruptcies in the state and in the federal government, clean-up work is the order of the day at the coalition partner CDU.
A new board of directors will be elected at the state CDU in just over a month.
Can country chief Thomas Strobl stay in office?
The 61-year-old saved his party in the coalition with the Greens and thus prevented a traffic light in the country.
As it stands at the moment, the CDU / CSU in the federal government is more likely not to be able to prevent a traffic light in the federal government.
The fact that Strobl was a Laschet supporter on the K question was resented by many in the party.
On Tuesday, Strobl, federal vice and interior minister in the state, said unmoved: "I'm like an ant, I create order in the forest, in the federal government and in the country." So far, no competitor has dared to step out of the bushes to dispute his state chairmanship want.
Grist to the mills of the red and the yellow
In the turmoil around the federal elections, it is almost forgotten that Green-Black has also been there for five months.
FDP parliamentary group leader Hans-Ulrich Rülke interprets the survey as follows: “It has become clear to the citizens that the current coalition does not stand for a departure, but only for a traditional way of doing things.” He recalls that the Government at the start approved another ministry and new state secretaries as well as further billions in debts.
"Greens and Union now receive the receipt for their dubious behavior."
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Green-Black: 1200 new jobs and pay off debts
Fierce opponents in the federal government, partners in the country.
The dream of a two-party coalition of the CDU and the Greens in the federal government has probably burst.
In the election campaign, the Southwest CDU warns of a left slide with Green help.
But when it comes to the household, the motto is: be able to indulge.
Green-Black: 1200 new jobs and pay off debts
SPD foreman Andreas Stoch is pleased that a traffic light is mathematically gaining approval in the south-west as well.
“A progressive coalition made up of the SPD, the Greens and the FDP has clearly gained in support since the state elections.” He sees the survey as an assignment to tackle the opposition.
Because at the moment it is not foreseeable that Kretschmann's green-black dream coalition is shaking.
Even if it shouldn't get any easier for green-black in the country when the traffic light flashes in the federal government.
dpa