THE QUESTION
.
For several decades, immigration has been a recurring theme in presidential campaigns, each time the issue being whether France should welcome more or less immigrants.
That of 2022 is no exception to the rule, but adds a demographic dimension to the usual debates on migratory flows.
The very divisive formula of "
great replacement
" taken up by the possible or very probable candidate Éric Zemmour is the most obvious illustration of this.
In this context marked by repeated controversies, demographic data are often inaudible or go through profit and loss.
Also read Are there fifteen districts in France where the majority of the population is foreign?
But not always either. "
I made a data error on a chain, LCI, by saying that in France the natural balance was negative (...) This is not yet the case
, confessed on France Inter on October 14 the political scientist Dominique Reynié on France Inter.
There were 82,000 births in 2020, but it's a collapse. Since 2016, for the sixth consecutive year, there have been fewer and fewer births in France and we can clearly see that we are going to go towards the negative balance, which is the case in the whole of Europe
”. And the CEO of the Fondapol think tank added: “
INSEE tells us: births in France account for half of population growth.
That is to say that, if I understand the INSEE correctly, half of the population is growing demographically through immigration
”.
Is this last statement correct?
CHECKS
.
Academic refers to
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