More than half of the potential voters of Yannick Jadot (EELV) and Anne Hidalgo (PS) and 41% of LFI supporters plan to vote Emmanuel Macron in the first round to block the far right, according to a study published by the Jean Foundation -Jaurès Thursday October 28.
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For her study, Adélaïde Zulfikarpasic, director of BVA Opinion, relied on the results of a survey by this institute published at the end of September.
In a context of strong voting intentions for the far right, she explains, what is at stake in the eyes of many voters on the left is not "
the presence for the moment very improbable of a candidate from the left in the second round, but the very presence of a candidate who guarantees the system and the institutions (not to say democracy)
”.
In addition, his "
management of the crisis
" and "
his support on the economic level
" also play in favor of Emmanuel Macron, according to Adélaïde Zulfikarpasic.
"Block the far right"
The useful vote in favor of Emmanuel Macron from the first round, "
to block the extreme right
" in the event of the candidacy of the polemicist Eric Zemmour, is envisaged by 54% of voters declaring themselves for Yannick Jadot and by 57% of those leaning towards Anne Hidalgo.
Among LFI supporters, however a priori more to the left, it also reached a high level, 41%.
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The study also underlines that 49% of the voters of Benoît Hamon (then PS) in 2017 are considering a vote for the outgoing president.
For Adelaide Zulfikarpasic, this mechanism is "
based on a central idea: that the left will not be able - in the current state of things - to figure in the second round of this presidential election
".
The survey was conducted online on September 22 and 23, on a sample of 1,000 people, representative of the French population aged 18 and over, according to the quota method.
Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot.
They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.