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Christmas in lockdown again? Gloomy expert forecasts for December


The corona numbers are exploding. Intensive care units are already at their limits. Is there another lockdown looming at Christmas 2021? That's what experts say.

The corona numbers are exploding.

Intensive care units are already at their limits.

Is there another lockdown looming at Christmas 2021?

That's what experts say.

Munich - can the fourth corona wave in Germany still be broken?

The number of new coronavirus infections is increasing dramatically.

Corona experts are hardly surprised by this dynamic.

Since the beginning of summer, science and politicians have been appealing like a mantelpiece to “keep the fourth wave flat”.

At the beginning of September, RKI boss Lothar Wieler warned of a “brilliant course” if the vaccination rate did not increase.

The Corona winter 2021 is now approaching.

The fear of lockdown is growing.

Can you still prevent a lockdown at Christmas?

Christmas in lockdown?

“The infection process in the population is like a tanker.

It takes some time to slow it down, ”says Ralf Reintjes, Professor of Epidemiology and Health Reporting at the Hamburg University of Applied Sciences at


And: "The basis for the level of infection at Christmas is being laid."

Where the infection numbers would be at Christmas depends on the actions of the individual.

The level of new infections can be limited if everyone is aware of the situation we are currently in.

Namely "in the middle of a pandemic, at the beginning of autumn and winter, the best time for the virus to be transmitted," says Reintjes.

"The basis for the level of infection at Christmas is being laid."

Prof. Ralf Reintjes

It is important to curb the transmission of the virus with all possibilities such as vaccination, testing, masks, distance and contact reduction.

The epidemiologist advises caution at large celebrations and recommends that it be better to wait until spring.

Then the situation will likely have improved.

Lauterbach: Consistently 2G against lockdown

According to Karl Lauterbach (SPD), a lockdown can be prevented by two measures: the consistent implementation of 2G in all areas that are not part of daily needs such as grocery stores or drugstores, and the control of this measure.

Read here why the SPD health expert warns of a "monster wave".

Lauterbach also advises against larger Christmas and carnival celebrations.

This is how the Christmas wave can be broken

Friedemann Weber, professor of virology and director of the relevant institute at the Justus Liebig University in Gießen, can see how the corona situation develops at Christmas, as

reported by

. In the mix of many factors, in addition to the many millions of unvaccinated people, there is also declining morale. To break the winter wave, caution and reduced contact restrictions among the population were not enough.

"Without significantly improved vaccination rates and, if possible, boosts, we will have to reckon with increased restrictions before Christmas," Weber fears in an interview with


In his opinion, tightened measures can hardly be avoided.

The virologist very much hopes that a lockdown will be unnecessary.

But if so, then the "lockdown should initially be limited to unvaccinated people who had received a vaccination offer."

Christmas - those who have not been vaccinated have to restrict themselves greatly.

Even at Christmas, fully vaccinated people will not be affected by restrictions, believes Timo Ulrichs, infection epidemiologist and professor for international emergency and disaster relief at the Akkon University of Applied Sciences in Berlin, according to

At most within the framework of a so-called 2G + rule.

You would have to test yourself before an event.

According to Prof. Ulrichs, this does not apply to those who have not been vaccinated: "With them it is still very likely that they will be passed on - and with it the infection, illness and the severe course."


Christmas in Corona times: In view of the Corona numbers, the fear of a lockdown is growing.

© Jörg Carstensen / dpa

Complete lockdown with the current vaccination rate impossible

The Green parliamentary group leader Katrin Göring-Eckardt ruled out a complete lockdown in the ARD “Morgenmagazin” (Monday, November 8th).

With so many vaccinated people, this is no longer legally possible.

However, schools and certain facilities could also be closed regionally if necessary.

Corona regulations are needed that the courts would not overturn.

Hamburg's First Mayor Peter Tschentscher said on Sunday evening in the ZDF “heute journal”: “We cannot always judge this pandemic from the point of view of the unvaccinated.” After all, the large number of people who have already been vaccinated also have rights.

In many federal states, the vaccination rate has been too low so far - "and the situation there is now escalating."

For emergency doctor Lisa Federle (60) from Tübingen, the intensive care units are

decisive for a lockdown,

according to the


: "If they get full, we have a problem."

“Vaccination miracle” in Austria thanks to the 2G rule - is it too late?

The 2G rule applies throughout Austria, causing a rush of vaccinations: On Saturday alone, 256 percent more people were vaccinated than usual.


Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-11-09

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