The election of the Legislative Council is still more than a month away from polling day, and voters' intention to vote under the new system has attracted much attention.
Zhang Zhigang, a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and president of the One Country, Two Systems Research Center, wrote in a newspaper that he estimated that the voter turnout rate for direct elections in this election would only be 20%.
When Tan Yaozong, a member of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, accepted the inquiry, it was not surprising that in a relatively peaceful and rational environment, the turnout rate was similar to Zhang Zhigang's analysis.
Tan Yaozong also pointed out that the low turnout rate may be due to the fact that voters agree with a large number of candidates, and there is no need to vote specifically.
Ma Yue, associate professor of the Department of Politics and Administration at the Chinese University of China, believes that Zhang Zhigang and Tan Yaozong's statement is to do expectation management in advance, and there is a saying that the lower turnout rate will be released by then.
He also pointed out that no matter where in the world, the purpose of elections is to increase the legitimacy of the system, and the turnout rate is one of the important indicators.
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The voter turnout in the district elections last year soared due to abnormal conditions
Tan Yaozong said that Zhang Zhigang had done a lot of research in the past, using data and figures to explain his statement, so he did not question his analysis and research.
Tan pointed out that in the past many elections, the voter turnout rate was hovering around 30% to 40%. He believed that the situation in the district elections the year before was "extraordinary" because at that time, "the society was strongly antagonistic and driven by the two major camps, it was not normal. Next, the turnout figures suddenly came out."
Will a voter turnout rate of less than 30% equate to the lack of acceptance of the election?
Tan Yaozong pointed out that the low turnout rate may be due to the fact that voters agree with a large number of candidates, and there is no need to vote specifically. Okay, everyone has no problems and agrees, so I don’t want to come out (vote) at ease."
Ma Yue: Since the reunification, the government has said that the low turnout rate is a good thing?
Ma Yue, an associate professor in the Department of Politics and Administration at the Chinese University of China, said that Zhang Zhigang and Tan Yaozong’s statement is to do expectation management in advance: “It seems that they all know that under the new electoral system, the number of votes for the establishment may be just over 20%. So first give everyone a psychological preparation. If the turnout rate is really low, there will be a saying."
However, he pointed out that no matter where in the world, the purpose of "elections" is to increase the legitimacy of the system, and the turnout rate is one of the important indicators: "Even autocratic countries or regions hope to declare themselves through high turnout rates. With the support of public opinion, if the voter turnout rate is low, it is really difficult to claim that those who are elected have the basis of public opinion. At least after the return to the government for more than two decades, no one has ever said that low turnout rate is good in any publicity for elections. Right? If the final turnout is really only over 20%, I guess it would be difficult for the Western media to interpret it as "the new system is very popular."
The Legislative Council Election ︱ The voter turnout rate is expected to be only a few percent. Zhang Zhigang: Pan-Democratic candidates advertised as non-organizational or DQ Zhang Zhigang: The Democratic Party’s current reluctance to stand for election means "unwilling to express patriotism" and will hold the indefinite Legislative Council election in the future | ICAC detention 3 People involved in online appeals for others to vote for white votes The news that ordinary netizens Deng Bingqiang named Xu Zhifeng to "call others and let them loose". Do not reprint the sudden increase in votes in the election of the Legislative Council of Macau to indicate the situation in Hong Kong?
Lam Cheng: Turnout rate is related to competition. Macau Legislative Council's turnout rate has hit a record low, and white votes have soared by more than twice. Some elected persons said they were affected by the DQ incident.
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