The Legislative Council election will be held next month. Recently, many establishments have coincidentally predicted that the voter turnout rate is low. Tian Feilong, director of the National Hong Kong and Macau Research Association, pointed out today (18th) that the voter turnout rate in the Legislative Council election should not be directly measured by direct regional elections, but should be Using the "new weighting formula" that covers all election categories, that is, together with the functional constituency and the electoral committee constituency, the "total turnout rate" has a chance to exceed 40%.
However, Liu Zhaojia, vice chairman of the National Hong Kong and Macau Research Association, pointed out that when most people talk about voter turnout, they refer to direct elections in the region. If the other two sections are added, "people will tell you the numbers every minute," which is suspected to be a "big" voter turnout.
Liu Zhaojia reiterated that the goal of this election reform is to maintain national security and reverse the political situation.
Cai Ziqiang, a senior lecturer in the Department of Politics and Administration at CUHK, described Tian Feilong’s suggestion as "non-donkey, non-horse, nondescript", referring to the direct election voter turnout rate reflecting the desire to vote of more than four million voters; and the turnout rate of functional constituencies and electoral committees. , Respectively, showed the intentions of different groups and more than 1,400 election committees, and asked, "Can you find them all together?" Directly pointed out that Tian Feilong volunteered to pave the way for the possible low turnout rate.
Tian Feilong wrote in a newspaper today that the new election system is a "mixed representation system." Compared with the "formal representation system" of direct elections by districts, the functional constituency elections and the election committee constituency elections reflect the "functional representation system", so vote The rate should not only be calculated for the part of direct elections, but should cover all election categories and be calculated by the "new weighting formula". Otherwise, it will not fully reflect the social recognition of the new election system, and it will be unfair.
Liu Zhaojia: Only talking about the voter turnout rate is "the wrong center of gravity"
Liu Zhaojia accepted the inquiry of "Hong Kong 01" and questioned that if the "new weighting formula" is adopted, how to weight is easily controversial. "How big is the proportion of the electoral committee? How much is the direct election? 1,400 people (the electorate of the electoral committee) 4 million people (the number of directly elected voters in the region is about 4.47 million) is easily controversial." He believes that the electoral committee and functional constituency must have a high voter turnout, but if the two are counted together with the regional direct elections, " Minutes are counted by others".
He emphasized that the most important thing after the electoral reform is not the high or low turnout rate, but the maintenance of national security and the long-term stability of Hong Kong. If only the turnout rate is "the wrong focus", it will distort the importance of the electoral reform, even if the turnout rate is low, it should not be looked at The success or failure of the election is "not a fight for a moment."
He also pointed out that in the past several Legislative Council elections, the authorities have announced the voter turnout rates for direct elections in the districts, and they have not tried mixed calculations.
▼Counting of votes in the Election Committee election▼
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Cai Ziqiang: The establishment of the system is paving the way for public opinion to rationalize the low turnout rate
Cai Ziqiang explained that the voter base for direct elections is the general public, and the relevant turnout rate reflects that "millions of people feel that people who have their support can be selected, are interested in voting out of the country, and are receptive to the system. "Once the voting rates of individual sectors are calculated in a mixed manner, it is not helpful for analysis.
Tsai noticed that for example, Tian Feilong, different people have recently started to pave the way for the possible low turnout rate. In addition, government amendments have made calls not to vote or cast invalid votes as illegal acts, which then reflects that the central government and the Hong Kong government are very concerned about the new election. Turnout rate under the system.
Cai Fan asked, the relevant amendments have been returned for more than 20 years, "Do you know what Yijia will do first? Don’t worry about it, don’t do it!" Similarly, the total voter turnout rate is “unless it’s been calculated all the time, Yijia put forward first, reflecting that Yijia is very worried. Although the establishment camp has different opinions on the turnout rate, the essence is to rationalize the low turnout rate. Cai Ziqiang has repeatedly emphasized that it is "paving the way for public opinion." "However, the central government did not have a unified statement. The "total turnout" is believed to have been invented by Tian Feilong himself.
"Hong Kong 01" is inquiring with the Registration and Electoral Office whether it will change the calculation and publication of the voter turnout in the Legislative Council election, and it is awaiting reply.
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