The Legislative Council election is less than a month away from the polling day. Under the new election system, the traditional pan-popular population has disappeared. The direct election turnout rate has attracted much attention. Some people in the establishment camp have predicted that the turnout rate will not be high and explained.
Tian Feilong, director of the National Research Council of Hong Kong and Macau, opposes that the voter turnout rate should not be measured solely by direct elections. The total voter turnout rate should be calculated in a weighted manner along with functional constituencies and electoral committee sectors. Four percent.
The former Chairman of the Legislative Council, Jasper Tsang, criticized that the calculation method was "mathematically untenable" and asked about mixing the voter turnouts of different groups and constituencies. It's about 40%. Does it mean you are?" He bluntly said that the figures are meaningless, and questioned how the total turnout rate calculated by the new calculation is high or low.
If the voter turnout rate was not 100%: it would be surprised
After attending the event this morning (20th), Tsang Yok-sing said that the calculation of the turnout rate should be the same as that of direct elections, functional constituencies, and reset election committees. He thought the results would be clear.
Instead, he pays more attention to the voter turnout rate of the electoral committee, saying that voting for 40 seats is a known responsibility of the electoral committee during the election. "If there is an electoral committee who does not vote, I would be surprised." Hundred "Of course it is!"
As for the forecast of the turnout rate, Jasper Tsang admitted that it is "completely predictable" that the voter turnout rate in this election is not as good as in the past, but "I don't know how low it will be."
He believes that there are a series of factors that should not be ignored, such as the redistricting of constituencies, the addition of parliaments and the election of new recruits, and the shorter time for election projects.
Acknowledge that some voters abandon voting because there is no opposition
I was asked whether the drop in voter turnout was due to the narrowing of the political spectrum of candidates under the new election system.
Jasper Tsang admitted that "some voters will always choose the so-called opposition or those who are hostile to the SAR government. This is an objective existence." He said that without these people who do not meet the requirements of patriots, voters may "have no support objects, so they don't vote." "In the future, the political spectrum can only be broadened on the premise of satisfying the patriots. "This should be the standard in the future."
Tian Feilong advocates mixed voter turnout Liu Zhaojia: The Electoral Office says that there is no adjustment in statistics. The rate emphasizes that the new system is widely representative. Li Huaming expects to vote for a low turnout rate to approve the "non-organizational" election project. ︱Tan Yaozong: The turnout rate is low or because I don’t want to vote for Ma Yue, I doubt the expectation to manage the Legislative Council election. ︱ The turnout rate is expected to be only a few percent.
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