"Iran is a few weeks away from producing enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb. The question of whether that will happen depends only on its political will to do so."
This is what a political source says with the opening of nuclear talks between the superpowers and Iran.
However, the source stressed that this is not yet the development of the bomb itself, and that there is currently no evidence of an Iranian intention to break into bomb production.
According to the source, in view of the accelerated progress of the Iranian nuclear project in the last two years - and contrary to the statements of the parties - it is almost impossible to return to the original nuclear agreement from 2015.
Base of uranium enrichment in Natanz, Photo: Reuters
"Their progress is so significant that it is virtually impossible to roll back the nuclear project to where it was two or three years ago. There is an accumulation of knowledge that cannot be erased. For example, they now know how to enrich uranium to 60 percent. It is not something that can be rolled back. "They are also carrying out the enrichment intensively, which they did not know. They have accumulated assets," the political source said.
The source noted that according to reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran holds 2,500 kilograms of enriched uranium at a low level, and 20 kilograms at a high level of 60 percent. "They have not yet reached 90 percent enrichment. , As required for the bomb, but they have the knowledge and ability to do so.
The question of whether or not there will be a break-in depends solely on Iran's political will to do so. "
Fear of a partial agreement in Vienna
Israel Today reports that there is concern in Jerusalem that the United States and the West will try to reach a partial settlement with Iran, which will be even more limited than the original nuclear agreement from 2015. One of the scenarios presented is that the Biden government will settle for a two-component deal: lifting sanctions International in exchange for stopping uranium enrichment only.
Such an outline means, among other things, that there is no dismantling of Iran's advanced enrichment infrastructure, no spending of the 25 kilograms already enriched, and no dealing with Iran's nuclear program and its regional aggression.
Nor does a one-point agreement of this kind meet the administration's early commitment to reach a "stronger and longer-term" agreement with Iran.
The assessment that the West will strive for a limited agreement with Iran is based on messages conveyed to Jerusalem in recent days stating that "first of all, the Iranians' urgent enrichment race must be stopped. This is the most urgent thing."
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