This is the blast effect of the primary. Barely nominated as the Republican candidate for the presidential election, Valérie Pécresse recorded a spectacular increase of seven points to reach 17% of voting intentions in the first round. According to an Ifop-Fiducial survey for
Le Figaro
and LCI, carried out mainly before the meeting of Eric Zemmour, it would even obtain 48% in the second round against Emmanuel Macron (52%). The latter remains the only one who has not yet entered the race but now that all her main competitors are known, Valérie Pécresse is the first to approach so close to the President of the Republic in the final duel of the presidential election.
“The appointment of Valérie Pécresse freed the people of the right,
observes Frédéric Dabi, Director General of Ifop.
There was a question about the impact of the primary, with a greatly reduced electorate compared to that of 2016, but the effect is there ”.
To discover
Presidential 2022: where are the candidates in the polls?
Read also Valérie Pécresse launches the battle against Emmanuel Macron
Still stable in the first round, the head of state benefits from 25% of voting intentions.
“It is still at the pole, installed on a solid base.
The emergence of Valérie Pécresse touches him little ”
, emphasizes Frédéric Dabi. For now, the Head of State is losing a bit among retirees, where Valérie Pécresse is progressing. But of all the candidates for the LR primary, she was the one who worried the most in the entourage of the Head of State by her ability to establish herself as the candidate for the right. If the poll indicates that the rally has started, the road is still long and steep. With a complex balancing act to achieve in order to succeed in retaining all the activists who made his victory without scaring away the supporters of Eric Ciotti. However, it is on them that Marine Le Pen is eyeing like Eric Zemmour, in difficulty since the appointment of Valérie Pécresse. Despite her resistance to the assaults of the polemicist, the president of the National Rally recorded a decline of 2.5 points to 17% in the first round.His qualification is no longer assured. Faced with a Valérie Pécresse who appears in dynamic, Marine Le Pen is on the decline. And even if she would succeed in qualifying, she would be largely beaten in the second round with 44% against Emmanuel Macron (56%).
To read also Guillaume Tabard: "The new battle of the rights"
As for Eric Zemmour, he always appears stuck in a false dish, even if only a quarter of the people questioned in the survey were questioned after the Villepinte meeting.
The Reconquest candidate!
drops two points to 13% and no longer appears in a position to qualify for the second round.
“The push of Valérie Pécresse operates at the expense of Marine Le Pen, Eric Zemmour but also Nicolas Dupont-Aignan,
observes Frédéric Dabi.
In this election, the match is played on the right ”.
Because on the left, it is more than ever a dull plain.
The total votes of all the candidates barely reached 24%, unprecedented.
And which maintains the specter of a third April 21 with the elimination of all left-wing candidates in the first round.
Anne Hidalgo and Yannick Jadot are weakly stagnating on their achievements at 5% and 6%.
The mayor of Paris still fails to stimulate the slightest dynamic in his campaign, the green candidate fails to take his own against the backdrop of rivalries among the green.
For his part, Arnaud Montebourg drops below the 2% to 1.5% mark.
In this sepulchral landscape, only Jean-Luc Mélenchon survives, up 0.5 points to 9%.
Not even enough to foresee a place of third man.
To read also At La Défense, Jean-Luc Mélenchon struggles to breathe life into his campaign
