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Sha Banshan's Notes | The "Subtle State of Mind" of the establishment that promotes the turnout of the valley into a hard task

2021-12-07T23:47:16.256Z


Less than two weeks before the Legislative Council elections, Xia Baolong, director of the Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office of the State Council, delivered a speech, emphasizing that "patriots ruling Hong Kong" is a "splendid look." The elections demonstrated that the new election system is widely representative and politically inclusive.


Less than two weeks before the Legislative Council election, Xia Baolong, director of the Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office of the State Council, delivered a speech, emphasizing that "patriots ruling Hong Kong" is a "colorful". The election demonstrated that the new election system is broadly representative and politically inclusive. The ballot of the People’s Republic of China is even more a vote of firm confidence in "one country, two systems."


Central officials’ appeals for voting on the eve of the election campaign are rare in the past. Some people think that Xia Baolong talks about elections at this critical moment in hopes of high turnout. However, some people think that it is aimed at countering the West’s discrediting of the new election system, especially "democracy." "The summit" is about to be held, and China does not allow the West to play the "democracy card" and act as the patriarch's guidance.


Many institutional candidates all told Sha Banshan that the Beijing official’s speech may not be of great help in pushing up the turnout rate. Many voters have always had a set of ideas, and they felt "cool breeze" when canvassing votes on the street, but they all understood the reminder. Gu's turnout rate is a hard task, and I hope "Guo gets one vote for one vote."

However, some people in the bureau described to Sha Banshan that the establishment had verbally agreed, but in fact they did not want to turn out too high in their hearts.......


The traditional pan-people do not participate in the establishment of the system, hoping to take two direct elections

Traditional election wisdom, the higher the voter turnout, the more beneficial to the democrats. This time direct regional elections will use the "dual-seat single-vote system", which means that Hong Kong is divided into 10 districts and each district has two seats. The design itself has "reserved" space. For the democrats, if the democrats stand in the election, they will almost certainly win a seat from each district.

However, the traditional pan-democratic party did not participate in the election this time. In some constituencies, only some unseen or outdated veterans could sign up, which made it difficult to attract voters. The establishments benefited from the restructuring and sent two people from each district to grab the beach and try to win two seats. For example, Yang Yongjie, a pro-establishment faction in Kowloon Central, used "striving to build the second seat of strength" as a solicitation, hoping to lower the non-establishment faction Tan Xiangwen and join the "stable" DAB Chairman Li Huiqiong.



However, elections are always elections. Whenever something unpredictable happens, take the Hong Kong Island West constituency as an example. The New Democratic Party chairman Yip Liu Shuyi is regarded as a hot candidate. The remaining seat is the dispute between the DAB vice chairman Chen Xuefeng and the non-organizationalist Fang Longfei. However, if someone calls for "kicking off the DAB" or Fang Longfei "a blockbuster", Chen Xuefeng has the opportunity to capsize in the gutter at any time.

This time, in the 10 directly elected districts, there are reports that independent pan-democrats or centrists are running for the election. Some senior establishments said that whether these non-establishmentalists can be elected depends on whether the pan-democrats supporters vote, even if only the former Half of the voters came out to vote, and the wishful thinking of the establishment to arrange two seats has been lost.

Some organizations in the organization said to Sha Banshan that some organizations "said it in their mouths" in urging the valley to vote, but they weren't the same thing in their hearts. They laughed and said that some people were "psychologically imbalanced", "I want to have a high turnout rate and don't want to vote." "High rate" is the most important thing for a political party to "drop in" seats.

For candidates from all sectors in the Legislative Council election, please refer to the "Hong Kong 01" election website.

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Source: hk1

All news articles on 2021-12-07

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