The LR candidate for the Élysée Valérie Pécresse captures the votes of the electorate of Emmanuel Macron and the far right to be in 2nd position behind the outgoing president, but with an electorate less solid than his opponents, indicates a poll published Saturday.
Valérie Pécresse gained seven points at 17% of voting intention, behind Emmanuel Macron who lost 1.5 to 24%, in the Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll carried out for
Le Monde
, the Jean Jaurès Foundation and Cevipof with a substantial sample of 10,928 people.
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Carried out from December 7 to 13, at the end of the right-wing primary, this poll confirms the dynamic of Ms. Pécresse who passes in front of Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour, both at 14.5%.
Further on, the ecologist Yannick Jadot and the LFI Jean-Luc Mélenchon are also neck and neck at 8.5% in this third monthly study.
In detail, the LR candidate wins 1.5 points at the expense of Emmanuel Macron and Eric Zemmour, and takes a point from Marine Le Pen and even half a point on the left, specifies the study.
She also confirms that many uncertainties persist with less than four months of the poll on April 10 and 24.
Abstention thus remains at a very high level, with 61% of those questioned saying they are certain of going to vote in April, or 9 points less than in December 2016. The survey also shows that nearly a third of voters (30%) have changed their minds in the past two months, increasing volatility as the polls approach, with 47% of those polled believing their choice may still change.
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With 51% of her voters ensuring that their vote is final, Ms. Pécresse has the least solid base among the four favorites.
It is 68% for Marine Le Pen, 65% for Emmanuel Macron and 61% for Eric Zemmour.