The fifth wave of the corona in Israel, with the omicron strain, is a disturbing political story, no less than an epidemiological one.
The government formed after two years of instability is having a hard time breathing.
Although she has apparently recovered from the election virus, she suffers from a political "Long Cubid" syndrome.
The visible symptoms are acute shortness of breath that leads the government to make dramatic decisions, and immediately overturn them.
The GSS and the green mark in the malls are just a small example. Every Knesset member has the power to overturn government decisions in vain. Mali Avidar, through Mazen Ghanaim to Abir Kara, His whims.
The polls are behind political epidemiology.
Unlike Yesh Atid, the situation of the right-wing parties in the coalition is shrouded in mist.
New hope does not exceed the blocking percentage, the right next to it from above is dangerous for it, and on the other hand, Netanyahu reduces gaps.
In such a situation, Prime Minister Bennett's statements - which seem to lack any real authority - have become a purely explanatory event.
Bell was wrong - the omicron is not the cause of the crisis.
It provides a glimpse into the underground currents in government.
"The weekly fights between RAAM and Ayelet Shaked over electricity and citizenship laws are an opportunity to understand the extent to which the coalition values its chances of longevity. Lapid, who heads the coalition's largest party, also has no immunity from the syndrome. R. Opposition.
Most political figures and commentators in Israel estimate that the rotation will not take place - and these assessments are a result of the situation.
The different piece in the puzzle is that of Defense Minister Benny Ganz.
Contrary to the vague future of the rest of the coalition, he may march directly to the prime minister.
The ultra-Orthodox are courting him vigorously, and the Likud is officially offering him the position of prime minister for an entire term.
The main thing - to overthrow the current government.
Polls suggest that even in the next election neither side will be able to form a government without Gantz.
It seems that as chairman of a center-right party, he is the only one who can go with both the left and the right.
Both Israel and the US administration recognize the power of the Secretary of Defense.
This week it was reported in News 13 that President Biden has not answered Prime Minister Bennett's phone for several weeks. Gantz is the one who flew to Washington and manages the relationship with the administration on Iran. To the commissions of inquiry he decided to set up, from the subject of the submarines to the Meron disaster.
The fact that Gantz has strong cards leads to a constant suspicion of him on the part of elements in the coalition.
He keeps the cards close to his chest, does not rule out any option, leaves a fog around his intentions and flirts with everyone at the same time (for example, when he proposed setting up a committee of inquiry into the submarines, but publicly praised Netanyahu).
It is not certain that he will have the courage to respond to the courtships of Netanyahu and the ultra-Orthodox, but those who underestimate his power probably do not read the political map correctly.
Were we wrong?
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