The "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan for Education Development in Guangdong Province" was released a few days ago, proposing to build an international education demonstration zone in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. By 2025, 3 to 5 Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao cooperative education institutions will be built, and 5 Hong Kong schools will be listed on the list. .
The Hong Kong government also emphasized the need to continue to actively promote exchanges and cooperation between the Mainland and Hong Kong higher education circles.
Is going northward for Hong Kong schools "more advantages than disadvantages" for Hong Kong?
Will local education resources flow into the Greater Bay Area in one direction?
In an exclusive interview with Hong Kong 01, local economist and Dean of the Silk Road Intelligence Valley Research Institute, Liang Haiming believed that promoting the development of education in the Greater Bay Area will not weaken local education. On the contrary, Hong Kong education should be taken into consideration in the Greater Bay Area as a whole; We are also optimistic about the Hong Kong government’s plan to allow students from Hong Kong schools to come to Hong Kong for employment, which will fill up the shortage of local professionals.
Take away resources vs. bring back opportunities
Rather than calculating a small account, it is better to calculate a larger account. You can see this problem from a higher level. This is a win-win, or even a win-win situation.
Liang Haiming pointed out that for the Greater Bay Area, first of all, by cultivating more talents in Hong Kong schools northward, it can promote the economic development of the cities where Hong Kong universities are located.
Floating population has made outstanding contributions to economic development. Urban development requires the accumulation of talents. Research has found that an average increase of 1% in floating population can bring about 0.54% growth in regional GDP.
He continued that the talents studying in the branches of the Hong Kong school can receive good education and have their professional abilities. In addition to bringing technology, wisdom and advanced production tools to the cities in the Greater Bay Area, they can also immediately enter the labor market and start Production and consumption bring potential growth to the local economy, and residents of the Greater Bay Area and Hong Kong can enjoy the benefits of overall economic growth.
Liang Haiming believes that mobile talents are vital to regional economic development.
(Visual China)
Second, he pointed out that trade in education services can bring substantial income to cities in the Greater Bay Area.
In recent years, global higher education export trade has become the fastest growing industry. The export of education service trade can not only bring more than 30 billion US dollars in direct economic benefits to receiving countries and regions every year, but also promote the development of related upstream and downstream industries. And generate more employment opportunities.
International education has increasingly become a veritable new industry and new economic growth point.
Under this circumstance, the cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area can not only promote the economic development of the cities in the Greater Bay Area, create more jobs, and participate in the increasingly fierce competition in the international education market by introducing Hong Kong universities.
Liang Haiming believes that Hong Kong will benefit a lot from going north to Hong Kong schools.
Hong Kong has more than 20 colleges and universities that award local degrees, including the "eight universities" commonly known in the market. If they cooperate with mainland universities in running schools, they can complement each other. "One plus one can be greater than two." Otherwise, it is just Keep it closed, "As Hong Kong, to be the world's largest free port, I am afraid of others coming in. This is a joke."
Liang Haiming is currently the dean of the Silk Road Intelligence Valley Research Institute.
(Provided by interviewee)
He also pointed out that in fact, universities in many countries such as the United Kingdom, the United States, and Australia will also set up campuses or branch schools in Hong Kong and the Mainland, or recruit undergraduates, postgraduates, and doctoral students in related courses. The teaching resources of these countries have not been affected by this. extrusion.
Liang Haiming said that in public news reports, the funds and resources are from Guangdong.
It is not because of the abundant funds in the Mainland that the Hong Kong school goes northward, but it can strengthen the lack of Hong Kong headquarters. It is hoped that the branch school and the school will exert a synergistic effect to promote the benign interaction between students and Hong Kong and cities in the Greater Bay Area to create a win-win situation.
Cooperation in running schools can make use of the resource advantages of various parts of the Greater Bay Area to break through the existing development bottlenecks. For example, Hong Kong universities can receive long-term support in terms of scientific research funding, student source training, and scientific research results transformation. Mainland universities can cooperate with Hong Kong and Macao universities. Improve the level of internationalization.
Advocate to allow branch school students to come to Hong Kong for employment
Through artificial intelligence model and big data analysis, Liang Haiming and his team show that if there are no force majeure factors in Hong Kong's economy and society, Hong Kong local middle school students studying for bachelor's degree and sub-degree programs of Hong Kong higher education institutions from 2022 to 2030 are shown in the picture. , An average of about 23,000 people are enrolled in the first year of the bachelor's degree and sub-degree courses of higher education institutions in Hong Kong each year.
In 2012, nearly 40,000 people were admitted for bachelor's and associate's degrees. It was because that year was the first year that the diplomatic examination under the new "three, three, four" academic system replaced the old college entrance examination and college entrance examination.
The number of admissions includes two high school graduates from the new academic system (secondary six) and the old school system (secondary seven).
(01 drawing)
He believes that 23,000 people are far from meeting the needs of Hong Kong's future development. Coupled with the development of the northern metropolitan area, especially the advancement of the Shenzhen Port Economic Belt, the number of talents needed in the future will double.
He continued that according to the relevant manpower demand research report, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government estimates that by 2027, the overall human resources supply in Hong Kong will be in short supply, and the overall manpower shortage will reach 169,700.
During the projection period from 2017 to 2027, it is estimated that manpower demand will increase in tandem with economic development and increase on an average year-on-year basis. Over the same period, due to the aging population and low fertility rate, the manpower supply is expected to drop by 0.2% on average year-on-year, resulting in overall manpower expectations. There is a shortage.
Liang Haiming believes that as Hong Kong continues to transform into a knowledge-based, high-value-added economy and advocates creativity, professionalism, and the application of technology and artificial intelligence, as well as its in-depth participation in the construction of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, it will develop into an international innovation and technology center. The manpower requirements of major industries in Hong Kong have undergone major changes.
The manpower demand of major emerging industries in Hong Kong will reach 453,700 by 2027. Among them, the manpower demand of the information technology and information communication industries will rise from 72,300 in 2017 to 90,000.
The manpower demand of the innovation and technology industry rose from 38,000 in 2017 to 57,600.
Comparison of manpower demand in major emerging industries in Hong Kong (2017 and 2027).
(01 drawing)
Through the above analysis, Liang Haiming judged that the students trained locally are far from enough to support the future development of Hong Kong, especially the needs of the future development of the northern metropolitan area and the Shenzhen Port Economic Belt. It can be helpful to attract foreign talents to work in Hong Kong. Hong Kong's future development will help.
Next step: Greater Bay Area school coming to Hong Kong?
Liang Haiming also pointed out that because of the "Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Plan Outline", it is believed that in the near future, there will be more Hong Kong universities, including not only Hong Kong public universities, but even private universities in Hong Kong to cooperate in running schools in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. .
In order to increase educational cooperation within the Greater Bay Area, schools in cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area are likely to come to Hong Kong to run schools in various forms in the next stage.
He pointed out that some universities and disciplines in Guangdong are ranked higher than Hong Kong in the world. Nowadays, most of the key universities in the Mainland, especially in Guangdong, almost all require new teachers to have an overseas study background, at least to study a Ph. Many of the professors in the permanent faculty have academic standards and English proficiency no worse than those of the 22 higher education institutions in Hong Kong.
He said that many universities in the Mainland have gone overseas to run schools. For example, Xiamen University went to Malaysia to run schools, then Fudan University opened a campus in Hungary, and Peking University HSBC Business School opened a new campus in Oxford, England, which Peking University established overseas. The first campus.
This actually shows the future trend, that is, mainland universities will also run schools in Hong Kong in the future.
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