Hong Kong is threatened by the variant Omicron virus. More than 40 cases of the Omicron variant virus have been recorded, and customs clearance has been indefinite.
Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor of the Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University, wrote articles and “whistled” on a radio program today (28), stating that Hong Kong’s epidemic prevention must be anti-subject, and clearing is only defensive, and pushing up the vaccination rate is offensive. Hong Kong society is bound to encounter a backlash, and the introduction of vaccine passports is a more suitable method.
Yuan Guoyong bluntly said that any place must face the "post-vaccine wave" transition period of about two months for safe and orderly customs clearance. Therefore, Hong Kong will meet the "post-vaccine wave" in July next year, in a better time summer, and in March next year. Vaccine passports are required before, and when there is no injection "no return to work and school", the vaccination rate has a chance to exceed 90%: "If you want to push the government in March, everyone will talk about it. Don't push, the epidemic will never end."
The virus will not disappear naturally
Yuan Guoyong and two other Hong Kong University scholars: Long Zhenbang, Honorary Assistant Professor, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University, and Kong Fanyi, Clinical Professor, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University, wrote an article in a newspaper today on the topic of "Anti-Customers, Building Resilience and Opening Hong Kong to Normal State". The epidemic will be lost for a long time, and the object must be the main goal.
The article pointed out that the new coronavirus will not disappear naturally, and containment and clearance are a means, not a goal.
The essence of the zero clearance is to use stringent measures in exchange for a safe space, so that citizens can be vaccinated during this period to achieve universal immunization as soon as possible and build resilience against the epidemic.
If the vaccination rate is more than 90%, you can prepare to clear customs with low-risk areas
Yuan Guoyong added on the commercial channel program in the morning that if customs clearance is to be achieved, the "post-vaccine wave" must come.
He took Singapore as an example. Since September, the border has been reopened. Even though the vaccination rate was as high as 85% at the time, there is a new wave of epidemics, the "post-vaccine wave", with more than 3,000 cases per day and about 15 deaths at the peak.
Before Singapore opened its borders, only 50 people died of new coronary pneumonia, and more than 700 people died after the switch.
As soon as the border was opened, many people passed away, and most of them didn’t get an injection... Singapore is very stable and has a lot of reasons. You don't get an injection, right? Natural selection, you have to pass.
Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University
He said that the vaccine passport is the only way to reopen the border in Hong Kong. If you cannot go to work or school without getting an injection, it will definitely increase the vaccination rate. When more than 9 adults in the society have completed the vaccination, they can prepare for customs clearance with low-risk areas.
Urge the government to seize the opportunity to strive for customs clearance with foreign countries next summer
Because it takes 2 months to adapt to the "post-vaccine wave" at that time, it will be easier to cope with the "post-vaccine wave" in summer, because herd immunity has been formed by then, and the survival time of the virus in summer is shorter, even if there is Omincron virus The Hospital Authority can handle the flow into the community. Therefore, the government is urged to seize the opportunity to clear customs during the summer vacation.
Although drugs for the treatment of new coronary pneumonia have recently appeared, he pointed out that they still cannot replace vaccination, because one of the new drugs may theoretically affect genes, fetuses, and increase the risk of cancer. A five-day course of treatment costs 6,000 yuan, which is more than vaccines. Only one or two hundred yuan is expensive, and another new drug will affect liver and kidney function. Patients with liver and kidney disease need to reduce the dose, so the first choice is still vaccination.
No injections, no return to work, return to school vaccination rate is expected to increase 90% Yuan Guoyong expects society to return to normal next Christmas
He believes that it is not feasible to imitate the practice of compulsory vaccination of citizens in Austria. "Possibly vaccination passports are more in line with the political situation in Hong Kong." Yuan explained that to strive for customs clearance with foreign countries during the summer vacation next year, 90% of the vaccination rate is required in July and in May. Get all three shots, and the vaccine passport will be launched before March next year: "It’s possible that the border will not be opened until July to September (next year). After the vaccine wave passes from July to September (next year), it will return to normal next Christmas and will be launched in March ( Vaccine passport), the government will tell you that within two months, everyone... If you don’t get an injection and you don’t have to go back to work and school, the vaccination rate is 90% or even 99%, it’s impossible."
Maybe the border will not be opened indefinitely. From July to September (next year), after the vaccine wave, it will return to normal next Christmas. It will be launched in March (vaccine passport). The government will talk about it in two months. ...If there is no need to return to work and school without an injection, it is impossible for the vaccination rate to be 90% or even 99%.
Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University
Yuan Guoyong was accused of being unpatriotic when talking about vaccines: If you can help a country, the truth is true
Yuan Guoyong said that if the vaccine passport is to be implemented, the community needs to work together, but if the public does not understand or misbelieve the wrong information about the vaccine, it will increase the difficulty of implementation.
He pointed out that the side effects of each vaccine are mild and rare. He also said that scholars including him have been regularly attacked online in the past two years. , But as a scientist, "We only talk about what happened, and we don’t help a country or a country. The truth is true."
When I talk about one (vaccine issue), I will say that we are not patriotic. We only talk about the occurrence of a bleat, and we can’t help a country or a country. The truth is true.
Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University
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