Hong Kong is threatened by the variant Omicron virus. More than 40 cases of the Omicron variant virus have been recorded, and customs clearance has been indefinite.
Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor of the Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University, wrote articles and "whistled" on a radio program today (28), stating that Hong Kong's epidemic prevention must be anti-customer, and clearing is only defensive, and pushing up the vaccination rate is offensive. When legislation compulsory vaccination in Hong Kong When society is bound to rebound, it is more suitable to promote vaccine passports.
Yuan Guoyong bluntly said that any place must face the "post-vaccine wave" transition period of about two months for safe and orderly customs clearance. Therefore, Hong Kong will meet the "post-vaccine wave" in July next year, in a better time summer, and in March next year. Vaccine passports are required before, and when there is no injection "no return to work and school", the vaccination rate has a chance to exceed 90%: "If you want to push the government in March, everyone will talk about it. Don't push, the epidemic will never end."
The virus will not disappear naturally
Yuan Guoyong and two other Hong Kong University scholars: Long Zhenbang, Honorary Assistant Professor, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University, and Kong Fanyi, Clinical Professor, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University, wrote an article in a newspaper today on the topic of "Anti-Customers, Building Resilience and Opening Hong Kong to Normal State". The epidemic will be lost for a long time, and the object must be the main goal.
The article pointed out that the new coronavirus will not disappear naturally, and containment and clearance are a means, not a goal.
The essence of the zero clearance is to use stringent measures in exchange for a safe space, so that citizens can be vaccinated during this period to achieve universal immunization as soon as possible and build resilience against the epidemic.
If the vaccination rate is more than 90%, you can prepare to clear customs with low-risk areas
Yuan Guoyong added on the commercial channel program in the morning that if customs clearance is to be achieved, the "post-vaccine wave" must come.
He took Singapore as an example. Since September, the border has been reopened. Even though the vaccination rate was as high as 85% at the time, there is a new wave of epidemics, the "post-vaccine wave", with more than 3,000 cases per day and about 15 deaths at the peak.
He said that the vaccine passport is the only way to reopen the border in Hong Kong. If you cannot go to work or school without getting an injection, it will definitely increase the vaccination rate. When more than 9 adults in the society have completed the vaccination, they can prepare for customs clearance with low-risk areas.
Urge the government to seize the opportunity to strive for customs clearance with foreign countries next summer
Because it takes 2 months to adapt to the "post-vaccine wave" at that time, it will be easier to cope with the "post-vaccine wave" in summer, because herd immunity has been formed by then, and the survival time of the virus in summer is shorter, even if there is Omincron virus The Hospital Authority can handle the flow into the community, so the government is urged to seize the opportunity to clear customs during the summer vacation.
No injections, no return to work, return to school vaccination rate is expected to increase 90% Yuan Guoyong expects society to return to normal next Christmas
He explained that to strive for customs clearance with foreign countries in the summer of next year, 90% of the vaccination rate is required in July, three injections in May, and vaccine passports must be launched before March next year: "It's possible that the border will not be opened indefinitely. After the vaccine wave in September (next year), you can return to normal next Christmas. The (vaccine passport) will be released in March. The government will tell you that if you don’t get an injection, you won’t have to go back to work and go back to school. It’s impossible for the vaccination rate to be 90% or even 99%."
Maybe the border will not be opened indefinitely. From July to September (next year), after the vaccine wave, it will return to normal next Christmas. It will be launched in March (vaccine passport). The government will talk about it in two months. At that time, there is no need to go back to work and school if there is no injection. It is not impossible that the vaccination rate is 90% or even 99%.
Yuan Guoyong, Chair Professor, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hong Kong University
New crown pneumonia | He Boliang said that pilots should be exempted from inspection like bombs and promote vaccine passports: long-term pain is not as good as short-term pain. Vaccine passports need to be fully planned. Inoculation rate is insufficient to deal with Omicron. Alternative arrangements Chen Zhaoshi: The public hopes that the government will need a vaccine and Yuan Guoyong will advocate the establishment of a vaccination passport: rework must be given to people to vaccinate.
